Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
Monday, November 2, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Lee Roach on X
Why are coal names down across the board? I see pricing up. Is market nervous about contracting season? What am I missing. Like $BTU here. Any other ones I should spend time on?
John_Hempton on X
@AMCOverNoise I am glad you have the skill to buy gems like $AMC
John_Hempton on X
@224osk It is very sad. But I will die happy as you are buying $AMC.
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X
@citrini New fear for $COLD and $LINE unlocked
SG on X
@kiwicarrotcake still might be a good gamble. Just saying that sure as night follows day, $OKLO will spend some of its kitty and probably not wisely.
A Capital on X
Interesting underperformance in $MGM vs. comps… https://t.co/oOOmxIWY7Y
John_Hempton on X
So glad to see $AMC up so much. Apes are buying. They deserve it.
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.7BVIMGF $2.2B
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities 3Q 2026 LASR $2.1BTWST $9.3B
- Palm Harbour Capital third quarter 2026 CEVMF $5.3BCIRSA $3.4B
- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 AAP $2.9BCUUCF $5.3B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BCALY $2.8B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 AVOL $8.1BFCODF $4.5B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 VVV $4.3B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.6B
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating
Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…
Arizona Equity Research 
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
The Data Center Bridge
Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…
EEFT · long Euronet Worldwide INC
Euronet Worldwide (EEFT) is presented as an asymmetric opportunity, citing its strong balance sheet and shareholder-friendly capital…
Weekend Digest 348: Buy-And-Hold Purchases: MKTX, BSX, BAH, JD, Various LatAm Names
Weekend Digest 348 adds MarketAxess, Boston Scientific, JD and Walmex to a buy-and-hold portfolio, alongside views on Colombian markets,…
Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)
Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…
Tidewater (TDW): a first-pass look
Tidewater’s $22,600 average day rate and $598 million FY2025 EBITDA rest on an aging OSV fleet, scant newbuilds and fleet acquisitions…
Wix: More Pain (Ticker: WIX)
Wix cut 2026 bookings guidance by $50 million and revenue by $25 million after layoffs and weaker agency-partner demand, deepening scrutiny…
Note on Fiserv CEO Change & Huntsman/Olin Merger
Fiserv fell nearly 10% after CEO Mike Lyons left for Truist, while Olin's stock-funded 0.5476-share offer values Huntsman below its prior…
Weekend Digest #346 (AVAL, SpaceX QQQ & Passive Indexing, CBOE Vs. Kalshi)
Grupo Aval has doubled from entry, with further upside tied to Colombia’s new government.
Quick Value #318 - Campbell's (CPB)
Campbell's trades at 10-11x earnings and a 7% yield after shares fell over 50%, while 4x leverage, weaker volumes and margin pressure…
Everyone Bought the Shovels
Element Solutions sells consumable chipmaking chemistry, with a $75 target from $44 based on an AI-driven semiconductor-materials rerating.
ASR: Sureste Airports Soaring To 50%+ Upside, Market Is Missing The New Assets
Sureste Airports’ 20-airport Motiva acquisition and U.S. concessions are set to lift EBITDA, while shares trade at 7x forward EBITDA.
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X accounts we follow
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A Capital
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BDC
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Broken Moats
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catechwilliams
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Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
Dalius - Special Sits
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Derek Pilecki
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Fajasy
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
George Noble
Hunterbrook
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Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
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Kuppy
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
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Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs”
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SG
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ToffCap
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Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
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- Peapack Private
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Pittenger & Anderson
- Plural Investing
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
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- Pzena Investment Management
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- RiverPark Funds
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- The London Company
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- TimesSquare Capital Management
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- Tweedy, Browne
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- Vision Capital Fund
- Vltava Fund
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- Warden Capital
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- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- WestEnd Capital Management
- Westfield Capital Management
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
- YCG Investments
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
