Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.
$TAP A quarter century and zero capital gain. Now being kicked out of the S&P https://t.co/RM49KQJm36
The bottleneck play on this is $COMP? 🧭 https://t.co/1ClFMI3z4d
This man is probably an activist investor in $RYN trying to create his own catalyst by removing timber supply from the market. Heard he has an MBA from Wharton too and his wife hates him. https://t.co/sAp2HUFNaO
@SammyKoppelman Oh great shout. Names like $AWI do some acoustic performance wall and cieling stuff... it's just hard bc there's no pure play on this https://t.co/OOaBpZ9A3I
UBS: We believe $CENX offers the best leverage to a US Regional Premium that is sustainably higher. CENX currently trades at ~3.1x UBSe 2027 EBITDA estimates (below ~5x normalized 5yr average). We expect CENX to rerate towards our ~4x peak multiple driven by clarity… https://t.co/93RbEN5Ex7
Another $PBI debt upgrade... "Pitney Bowes Inc. Upgraded To 'BB-' From 'B+' On Strong Credit Metrics; Outlook Revised To Stable From Positive" https://t.co/dl97639K74
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…
PSN · long Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.
Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…
Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…
HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.
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