Sunday, November 1, 2026

Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook

Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.

CLMT $4.3B

Treasure Hunting Nov 1 2 clicks

Oct 31 ABR $2.2B

When the liquidity does not add up

John Hempton's Newsletter 3 clicks

Oct 31 LIF $3.6B

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Substack von Philipp 3 clicks

From X

@BarbarianCap Sep 16

Barbarian Capital on X

Snap tries to bring AR glasses to enterprise market, partnering with Nvidia, AWS and Salesforce $SNAP https://t.co/jh1lM0JqYQ

@BlueDuckCap Sep 16

BDC on X

Specs might be the only tech in the world that could fully replace your phone and your life would be better. What's that worth? $snap

@BlueDuckCap Sep 16

BDC on X

Learning applications for Specs are going to insane. Forget tablets or laptops. Every school in America should give their kids some Specs. $snap

@BlueDuckCap Sep 16

BDC on X

Wow - kinda nailed the need for cellular partner except the partner is VZ, not $SPCX. Good, regardless. $SNAP https://t.co/SaiRhAUmRr

@BlueDuckCap Sep 16

BDC on X

Based on what we've seen so far from Specs, and given private market valuations, could easily see $SNAP sell 20% minority stake in Specs for $2B. Implication is insanely bullish for SNAP equity.

@BlueDuckCap Sep 16

BDC on X

Specs are really cool. All sorts of real world applications. The enterprise apps might have the most commercial potential. This tech is legit. Minority equity investors will be lining up. $snap

@KEDM_COM Sep 16

KEDM.com on X

Vontier $VNT boosted its buyback to $1bn and intends to deploy at least $125m per quarter, starting Q2. That’ll be roughly 14% of the market cap (annualized). Vontier's share price is under pressure, recently hitting multi-year lows on poor results. But cash flow generation remains healthy, and Vontier has been pressing that buyback button strongly over the past few years.

@AsifSuria Sep 16

Asif Suria on X

Given what is happening with most housing related stocks including Floor & Decor $FND and $QXO, I would have expected to see more insider buying at these companies but that is yet to materialize. We did see the home builder D.R. Horton $DHI increase its stock buyback authorization by an additional $5 billion yesterday (nearly 13% of market cap). The last insider purchase at the company was in 2014. With mortgage rates going up, it might be too early to get into this industry but I am starting to get interested.

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

ADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.7B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating

Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…

KTOS $7.7B

Arizona Equity Research Oct 29

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.1B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.3B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers

TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…

TTMI $8.6B

Nicolas Bolsinger Oct 27 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $5.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

IREN $9.9B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

PSN · long

Parsons CORP

Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.

PSN $5.6B

Value Investors Club Aug 2

The Fed Hiked And Dynex Bled, Rithm Held

Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…

DX $2.8BRITM $5.3B

Benjamin C. Barry Oct 30

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.3B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch

Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…

DUOL $7.6B

Geneva Investor Oct 26 4 clicks

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.5B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 25 20 clicks

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.4B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 81 clicks

ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double

EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…

EXLS $6.3B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 24 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…

MTCH $9.7B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $9.4B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $6.6B

HFI Research Oct 22 10 clicks

Sunday, November 1, 2026

Barbarian Capital on X

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