Sunday, November 1, 2026

Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook

Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.

CLMT $4.3B

Treasure Hunting 41h ago 2 clicks

Oct 31 ABR $2.2B

When the liquidity does not add up

John Hempton's Newsletter 3 clicks

Oct 31 LIF $3.6B

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Substack von Philipp 3 clicks

From X

@cfrischer1 Oct 22

Charles Frischer on X

$NN https://t.co/1WCBYUxB4p

@stockgutter Oct 22

SG on X

what's behind $FIGS meteoric rise over the past two weeks? https://t.co/uZDxq2rPCV

@calvinblissett Oct 22

Calvin Blissett on X

$SLM update. I can’t put it better than this. Odd that they expected this volume and yet blame the earnings loss on upfront credit reserving. The volume part of the thesis has shown up as has the second partner for the “franchise” model. Need to watch if they convert volume to profitability. Macro could hurt as with most companies

@stockgutter Oct 22

SG on X

$CUBI is one of the few banks I own, and I thought this report was fine. Staying long (at least until the Feb27 85C I sold expire or are assigned). https://t.co/J9OykRqWkA https://t.co/WHl7RJilCv

@irbezek Oct 22

Ian Bezek on X

If you invested $10,000 in the 3x semiconductor bull ETF $SOXL two weeks ago, you have $4,800 left now. Thanks for playing.

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 22

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@voltino_cro I bought these 1-2 weeks ago when I saw the 15% bond yield and thought even when $VNO sold off to a decade low, it's bond yield was 9% and the stock was $12-13 A 15% yield is really troubling, bought some puts as a tail risk hedge

@AsifSuria Oct 22 2 clicks

Asif Suria on X

This is a positive development in the right direction for Mattel $MAT It was also good to see this at the heels of Hasbro's $HAS strong earnings this week https://t.co/X6gYlKpmFM https://t.co/UBY85cb3SR

@aleabitoreddit Oct 22 1 click

Serenity on X

I feel like markets are seeing a lot of forced liquidations and panic selling right now. You have peers like $LITE sold out completely into 2029, and are starting negotiations for 2030. So seeing a company like $AAOI now worth $5.7B despite all their laser/transceiver/ELSFP capacity coming online + demand visibility reminds me of July

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

ADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.9B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 2 clicks

Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating

Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…

KTOS $7.7B

Arizona Equity Research Oct 29

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.1B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.3B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.3B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch

Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…

DUOL $6.4B

Geneva Investor Oct 26 4 clicks

PSN · long

Parsons CORP

Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.

PSN $5.6B

Value Investors Club Aug 2

The Fed Hiked And Dynex Bled, Rithm Held

Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…

DX $2.8BRITM $5.2B

Benjamin C. Barry Oct 30

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.4B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 25 20 clicks

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.4B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 81 clicks

ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double

EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…

EXLS $6.3B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 24 4 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $9.4B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $7.4B

HFI Research Oct 22 10 clicks

MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview

MYR Group’s Q3 2026 preview cites data-center and power transmission demand, with long-term service agreements supporting margin growth and…

MYRG $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 22 6 clicks

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

MOS $6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 13 clicks

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 34 clicks

Sunday, November 1, 2026

Charles Frischer on X

SG on X

Calvin Blissett on X

SG on X

Ian Bezek on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Asif Suria on X

Serenity on X

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