Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 4 clicks

Oct 31 AMZN $2.9T

Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) Earnings Update: Q3 2026

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 8 clicks

Oct 31 LITE $48B

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

P Equity Research 2 clicks

From X

@negligible_cap Sep 22

Negligible Capital on X

One of the better parts about Muse taking off like this for $META is that Watermelon can now be a total flop and no one will care. The bar has now been essentially removed. Who cares if $META can’t make a frontier coding model anymore if they win consumer? If Watermelon does exceed expectations, that’s pretty much just house money

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 22

Laughing Water Capital on X

@310Value reminder that $APG pfd A stock, by which the holders get paid hedge fund-like incentive comp based on year end share price, will be converted at year end. Management/board are well incentivized to do everything they can to juice the stock price into year end.

@aleabitoreddit Sep 22

Serenity on X

I feel like traditional "value investing" went into hibernation. Before it was finding a 10x -12x P/E company like $UPWK or $PYPL, Dominoes, Pepsi. Or even a cheap Japanese company below book value. Then just enjoying slow growth but buyback/dividend appreciation from their cashflow. Now you can find 1.8x runrate P/E company like $ESMT that grew revenue 605.24% Y/Y. And the main thing you need to argue about is duration. Or a 16.2x trailing P/E Sumitomo, despite having way too many hyperscaler LTAs in AI from fiber to lasers. AI created much bigger medium-term anomaly, where "value investing" went towards high growth, "deep value" companies.

@majgeoinvesting Sep 22 2 clicks

Maj Soueidan on X

Here’s a video from $RFIL website on how their DAC (direct air cooling) product works in large enclosures. In theory, $PSIX might be an interesting channel partner if they have an “at the edge” enclosure presence. DAC is not a hyperscaler solution, but the “edge”is heating up. https://t.co/h8EScDrBlo

@leevalueroach Sep 22

Lee Roach on X

Here is my slide on $GME four wall economics. $1.9 million of sales per store. $580k of EBITDA at a 30% margin. Corporate SG&A only $64k per store as Ryan Cohen has slashed costs and is running this like a startup. These unit economics are stunning. This is why they are beginning to reopen stores again after shutting down 5,000. The payback is less than a year. Wait until the drooling suits figure this out. Management is buying in size, this is one of the reasons. More info: https://t.co/Re7vRQ6uHG

@TheBenSchmark Sep 22

JabroniCoin.USD on X

The franchisee in bankruptcy also pointed to the reduced effectiveness of Wendy’s brand marketing and national promotional strategies. $WEN they gonna stop trian? https://t.co/oFWD9DSqud https://t.co/WyL5iMVgs8

@UCompounders Sep 22

Undiscovered Compounders on X

@EmmaStockNotes Purely eye candy: the biggest compounder is Altria $MO at 442,100,000%. Strip Altria out of the average and it drops to about 15,000%, roughly cut in half.

@kab604 Sep 22 1 click

kab60 on X

@aurelius28 What do you think they needs to change? I honestly don't think much has changed (apart from valuation) in the case of $FIS and $JKHY (which is too expensive). $FISV seems to have real issues. But despite all the complaints, industry seems to be fine, stickiness high as hell.

Verra veerer

Verra Mobility’s Avis termination threatens 2027 earnings, while Government Solutions profit rose 25% and implied fourth-quarter guidance…

VRRM $333M

The Oak Bloke Oct 31 3 clicks

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $17B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 5 clicks

Microsoft's AI Boom Has A Cost

Microsoft’s Azure grew 48% as AI monetization accelerated, but doubled CapEx, largely for CPUs and GPUs, reduced quarterly free cash flow…

MSFT $4T

Yiannis Zourmpanos Oct 31 2 clicks

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 4 clicks

Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap

Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.

AMZN $2.9T

Steve Eisman Oct 30 6 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $90B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 3 clicks

CVX Earnings Review

Chevron’s Q3 revenue rose 35% to $65.2 billion and EBITDA 75% to $20.2 billion, while production trailed guidance and refining margins…

CVX $423B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 4 clicks

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

AstraZeneca reported $16.2 billion Q3 revenue, up 7%, as oncology grew 17% and Farxiga fell 25% after US generics.

AZN $285B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $114B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain

SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…

SKHY $729B

Adam Schadt Oct 30 2 clicks

PSN · long

Parsons CORP

Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.

PSN $5.3B

Value Investors Club Aug 2

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $52B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 5 clicks

XOM Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating - No Paywall.

ExxonMobil’s Q3 revenue rose 33% to $113.2 billion as refining earned $9.1 billion, surpassing upstream; the company set 2027 buybacks at…

XOM $689B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks

Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…

AMZN $2.9T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 30 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $24BADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years

Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.

GOOGL $3.5T

Rick Orford Oct 30 5 clicks

AMZN Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amazon reported $201.9 billion Q3 revenue and 39% AWS growth, while $220 billion in 2026 capex drove trailing free cash flow to a $42.4…

AMZN $2.9T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY

Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.

AMZN $2.9TLLY $1.3T

Rebound Capital Oct 30 2 clicks

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $25B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

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Saturday, October 31, 2026

Negligible Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Serenity on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Lee Roach on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Undiscovered Compounders on X

kab60 on X

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Publications we follow

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 74 of 275

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Investor letters we follow

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