Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Oct 31 AMZN $2.6T

Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) Earnings Update: Q3 2026

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 7 clicks

Oct 31 LITE $83B

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

P Equity Research 1 click

From X

@negligible_cap Oct 27 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

$CAKE comp sales of 15.2% YoY beating the estimate of 9.5% by 60%. Unreal

@orrdavid Oct 27 2 clicks

David Orr on X

The end customer is mostly softare companies. $IGV is flat since 2 years, and I've been thinking to shrug and short this thing recently. Is AI actually good for the end customer overall or not? If not, bubble seems probable at least short term - at least until there are a lot more *big* end customers. Which I think sure there will be, just in 10+ years.

@negligible_cap Oct 27 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

$HOOD event contracts revenue hit $173 million, up over 6x this quarter. Equities revenue was $121 million HOOD quickly turning into a sports gambling platform

@eriksen_tim Oct 27

Tim Eriksen on X

First ECIP repurchase has occurred. From M&F Proxy Supplement $MFBP Others to watch $CZBS $UBAB $BFCC $PDLB $MNMB $SFDL $PCB $BYFC $NMBF $HRBK $IBWC https://t.co/2gh1b3W6X4

@leevalueroach Oct 27

Lee Roach on X

Pokemon cards completely sold out at local Target. GameStop $GME is going to have a monster quarter https://t.co/yfNqQ8TJRe

@ACapitalLP Oct 27

A Capital on X

Strange underperformance in $FDXF vs. comps - anyone hearing anything? https://t.co/cctVubHZoU

@IdeaBrunchEmail Oct 27

Idea Brunch on X

Idea Brunch with T. Heath Fountain, CEO of Colony Bancorp $CBAN We are looking to interview more excellent business operators; please DM with nominations! https://t.co/RAU7Q7vF0m

@ACapitalLP Oct 27 1 click

A Capital on X

$FLEX looks interesting into the Axiom spin in Q1 2027. I think everyone can agree RemainCo is worth somewhere in the $40s, so the only real disagreement is what value to assign Axiom. You’re getting a cloud and power infrastructure business growing at gangbuster rates (80%+ FY28 revenue growth) that just raised $2bn of convertible preferred from General Catalyst at a $37.5bn EV… Meanwhile, at ~$77, the market is implying Axiom is worth ~$33/share. Some SOTP estimates have it north of $100. Obviously there are legitimate concerns around capex, working capital and FCF conversion, but that’s a pretty enormous disconnect. November 10 Investor Day should be interesting…

Verra veerer

Verra Mobility’s Avis termination threatens 2027 earnings, while Government Solutions profit rose 25% and implied fourth-quarter guidance…

VRRM $505M

The Oak Bloke Oct 31 2 clicks

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $16B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 4 clicks

Microsoft's AI Boom Has A Cost

Microsoft’s Azure grew 48% as AI monetization accelerated, but doubled CapEx, largely for CPUs and GPUs, reduced quarterly free cash flow…

MSFT $3.9T

Yiannis Zourmpanos Oct 31 2 clicks

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $3.6B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 3 clicks

Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap

Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.

AMZN $2.6T

Steve Eisman Oct 30 5 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $88B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 3 clicks

CVX Earnings Review

Chevron’s Q3 revenue rose 35% to $65.2 billion and EBITDA 75% to $20.2 billion, while production trailed guidance and refining margins…

CVX $465B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

AstraZeneca reported $16.2 billion Q3 revenue, up 7%, as oncology grew 17% and Farxiga fell 25% after US generics.

AZN $270B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $108B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain

SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…

SKHY $806B

Adam Schadt Oct 30 2 clicks

PSN · long

Parsons CORP

Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.

PSN $5.6B

Value Investors Club Aug 2

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $84B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $67B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

XOM Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating - No Paywall.

ExxonMobil’s Q3 revenue rose 33% to $113.2 billion as refining earned $9.1 billion, surpassing upstream; the company set 2027 buybacks at…

XOM $771B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks

Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…

AMZN $2.6T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 30 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23BADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years

Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.

GOOGL $4T

Rick Orford Oct 30 5 clicks

AMZN Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amazon reported $201.9 billion Q3 revenue and 39% AWS growth, while $220 billion in 2026 capex drove trailing free cash flow to a $42.4…

AMZN $2.6T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY

Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.

AMZN $2.6TLLY $1.3T

Rebound Capital Oct 30 2 clicks

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $26B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Saturday, October 31, 2026

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