Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Oct 31 VRRM $404M

Verra veerer

The Oak Bloke 2 clicks

Oct 31 LIF $4B

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Substack von Philipp 3 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 5/x $NN) This is what customers actually care about. You can get around this by building more towers and hanging more radios and using midband for control, but that is less efficient and more expensive.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 4/x $NN) Low band carries the control signal that a tells a phone what to do. When to transmit data. When to switch towers etc. B/c low band travels farther than mid band, low band is needed to stitch together the network and make sure calls are not dropped / garbled etc.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 3/x $NN) so while you are calling $NN's 15 MHz of low a "small slice" in reality it is not much smaller than what $T bought, and it could be multiples of what they have AVAILABLE

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 2/x $NN) This why $T bought 20 mhz of low band from $ECHO. $VZ and $TMUS have more subs than $T and about the same amount of low band. Logically, $VZ and $TMUS must also be dealing with low band congestion.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 1/x $NN) you note that carriers "control" ~50 mhz of low-band each. respectfully, "control" is clearly not the relevant variable. how much they have AVAILALBLE is what matters. $T commented that they were capacity constrained on low band.

@Fierce__beast Sep 24

Fierce_beast on X

Shorting low P/Es sometimes works: $SSTK and $GETY https://t.co/aRCDW2nrC2

@Adam_Wyden Sep 24 1 click

Adam D. Wyden on X

King William as my son likes to refer to him out with his first public position. Don’t sleep on him. $LIFE https://t.co/598FwOWcDh

@aleabitoreddit Sep 24

Serenity on X

I mean $LITE / $COHR did have $NVDA funding $2B for their buildout. But Lumentum seems primarily self-funded from operating cash flow. So I'd expect $AAOI to follow suit once they start ramp up around H1 2027. 2026 is just that high capex buildout period. My criticism was over visibility and financing methods during this timeframe.

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

ADT $7.2BBBW $363M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.7B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

Smart Fit: Global Fitness Ambitions (Ticker: SMFT3)

Smart Fit, Brazil’s SMFT3, is expanding its low-cost gym network across Latin America, with corporate-wellness platform TotalPass adding to…

ESMR $1.9M

Emerging Moats Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Miami International: Q3 Growth And Operating Leverage Impress (Rating Upgrade)

Miami International Holdings posted 20% Q3 revenue growth and 47% EBITDA growth as options volumes, market-share gains and operating…

MIAX $3.4B

Seeking Profits Oct 29 4 clicks

OSS Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Analysis

One Stop Systems grew Q3 continuing-operations revenue 36% to $12.6 million, raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $45 million, and used $11.8…

OSS $129M

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 1 click

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…

BBW $363M

Cassandra Unchained Oct 29 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4BWGO $903M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Duos Technologies Pivot To Data Center Pods Is Gaining Traction

Duos Technologies, DUOT, has shifted to modular edge data center pods, with Q2 revenue up 30% to $6.18 million and FY27 revenue guided…

DUOT $192M

Shareholders Unite Oct 29 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.2B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive

Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…

DAKT $977M

Hidden Gems Investing Oct 28 6 clicks

PSN · long

Parsons CORP

Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.

PSN $5.6B

Value Investors Club Aug 2

The Fed Hiked And Dynex Bled, Rithm Held

Rithm Capital’s 0.74x-book valuation and 2.2x dividend coverage contrast with Dynex’s payout above earnings, leaving RITM better positioned…

DX $2.7BRITM $5.3B

Benjamin C. Barry Oct 30

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Xenia Hotels: A Buy Ahead Of Q3 Results, Betting On Continued Portfolio Quality

Xenia Hotels & Resorts pairs luxury hotel assets, brand affiliations and planned renovations with investment-grade credit and covered…

XHR $2B

Albert Anthony Oct 28 2 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

INOD $1.5B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers

TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…

TTMI $7.7B

Nicolas Bolsinger Oct 27 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $5.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

IREN $9.9BFRMI $1.3B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x

A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…

INTR $1.7B

Calvin Blissett Oct 26 38 clicks

Saturday, October 31, 2026

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fierce_beast on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

Serenity on X

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