When the liquidity does not add up
Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.
Saturday, October 31, 2026
Back to today
From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
@PythiaR @BillBrewsterTBB You know it’s Joe Burnett! $MAMA ceo Adam Michaels is impressive
Ian Bezek on X
@taobanker $INTR at 1.2x book 5.5x '27 earnings with a 16% ROE growing at 20% a year probably qualifies. But yes, $BLX is incredible and I still kick myself for selling most of my position at $25 after buying at $15. Grabbed defeat from the jaws of victory there.
Farmer on X
@nkreu113r Somewhat at odds with $DXYZ up like 50% this month.
BDC on X
@BoxLongs Wild truth is that if $SNAP chooses they can earn over $1/share in FCF next year. $5 stock.
SG on X
$SUJA just under $9m in purchases from Paine Schwartz, telegraphed beforehand with a press release.👀 https://t.co/nwmFTEx0kE https://t.co/wUTLfBKL2p
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
Good news for $ALTO and $GPRE! U.S. to end summer blend gasoline requirement early in bid to help curb pump prices https://t.co/K0dqx0sSpV
Deep Sail Capital on X
@HiddenGemsInves $CLPT $NURS.v $ZDC.v $PNG.v $OUST
Investor Letters
All letters- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 CLVT $1.4BAAP $2.9B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BCALY $2.8B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 AVOL $8.1BFCODF $4.5B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 MFP $1.9BVVV $4.3B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 BSVN $553MGDOT $703M
- 1 Main Capital third quarter 2026 BFIT $2.2BHGV $3B
- Polaris Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 G $6.6BLKQ $5B
- Langdon Equity Partners Q3 2026 LOECF $740MATS $1.9B
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map
Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…
This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating
Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…
Arizona Equity Research 
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive
Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…
Alexandria Real Estate: Market Sees Declining Occupancy, I See Early Recovery Signs (Rating Downgrade)
Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…
Luuk Wierenga 
Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap
Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.
PSN · long Parsons CORP
Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
The Data Center Bridge
Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…
Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x
A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…
Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever
Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…
Rafa F. Oliver, CFA 4 clicks
Molina & Kinsale
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
Geneva Investor 4 clicks
How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…
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Petri Dish Reports
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Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
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David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
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Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
George Noble
Hunterbrook
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
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junkbondinvestor
kab60
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Kuppy
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
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marginofdanger
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Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs”
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Investor letters we follow
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- Lindsell Train Limited
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- Loomis Sayles — Global Growth Fund
- Lyrical Asset Management
- MJG Capital
- Madison Investments — Small Cap Fund
- Manole Capital Management
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- Markel Group
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- Matthews Asia
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- Meridian Growth Fund
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- Miller Value Partners
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- Moneta Group
- Montaka Global Investments
- Moon Capital Management
- Mott Capital Management
- Mountain Vista Wealth Management
- Muhlenkamp & Company
- Munro Partners
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- NS Partners
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- Newport Capital Group
- Next Century Growth Investors
- Night Watch Investment Management
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- Nixon Capital
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- Oldfield Partners
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- Optimist Fund
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- Overseas Asset Management Asian Recovery Fund
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- PM Capital
- Packer & Co
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- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Penn Davis McFarland
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Pittenger & Anderson
- Plural Investing
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
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- Quercus Fund
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- Renaissance Investment Management — Large Cap Growth
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- Saga Partners
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- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund
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- Sequoia Fund
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- Shelton Capital Management
- Sigil
- Signia Capital Management
- Skybound Wealth Management
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- Spyglass Capital Management
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- Stewart Asset Management
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- Stonehearth Capital Management
- Summers Value Partners
- Sustainable Growth Advisers
- TEAM Asset Management
- TIFF Investment Management
- Tall Oak Capital Advisors
- The London Company
- Third Avenue Management
- Third Point
- TimesSquare Capital Management
- Troy Asset Management
- Tweedy, Browne
- Unconventional Value
- Upslope Capital Management
- VH Standard Asset Management
- Value Line Funds
- Victory Capital — Sycamore Mid Cap Value Equity
- Vision Capital Fund
- Vltava Fund
- Voss Capital
- Voya Investment Management — MI Dynamic Small Cap Fund
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
- Wasatch Global Investors — Micro Cap Fund
- Wasatch Global Investors — Small Cap Growth Strategy
- Wealthspire Advisors
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- Wellington Management — Quarterly Market Review
- WestEnd Capital Management
- Westfield Capital Management
- Westwood — Quality SmallCap Fund
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
- YCG Investments
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
