Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Oct 31 LIF $3.6B

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Substack von Philipp 3 clicks

Oct 30 ADT $7.2B

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 1 click

From X

@ACapitalLP Oct 30

A Capital on X

Starting to think $MGM is absurdly cheap here at ~$29… Market extrapolating a terrible Vegas quarter (EBITDAR -12%, RevPAR -8%) while largely ignoring Macau share gains, BetMGM profitability and Osaka optionality. More interestingly, the buyback window reopens 10/30 with $1.4bn remaining (~20% of market cap). Management willing to take leverage from ~4x to 4.5–5x. Vegas weakness is real, but the marginal buyer is potentially the company itself, with substantial firepower at precisely the wrong price for sellers. Note: Barry Diller ($PPLI) was willing to pay $48/share for this exact same company a few months ago… Thoughts welcome.

@gnoble79 Oct 30 1 click

George Noble on X

The short sellers ran, and the business didn't get any better... The stock is still 56.7% below our short call, and the quarter gave us more reasons to stay: https://t.co/bDmCej37eg Stay short $WING

@orrdavid Oct 30

David Orr on X

These $SFM results are coming out pretty damn bad. Surprising for what seemed like a predictable grocery biz.

@mavix_leon Oct 30

mavix on X

▫️-undisclosed-, $LEAT, $ALENO, $LDB, $SLYG

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

More $CUBE news Sold 80% to Heitman in a JV valued $197mm at a roughly mid 5% cap rate and used proceeds to buy back better assets like those in NYC in that 6.3% to 6.5% cap rate range Improves quality and sell non-core at lower cap rate than higher quality assets Retains management and builds annuity mgt fee stream

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 29

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

I have consistently talked about buying $CUBE in the past year and highlighted their incredible NYC/NNJ portfolio It accounts for 1/4 of the company's NOI, up 5.5% in Q3 on a YOY basis. Moves the needle. Overall NOI up 2.1% YOY High barrier, no rent regs like housing, truly a great asset NOI declines mostly in Sunbelt high supply markets Story is as old as time Bought at a rough 6.7% cap about a year ago at $36 ish now $41.08 plus about $2.12 in dividends since Not too shabby for a 20% one year return for buying a high quality SS with low leverage

@orrdavid Oct 29

David Orr on X

$PURR https://t.co/yeJJ2cHVeE

@stockgutter Oct 29

SG on X

$CAKE execs are sellers into the political hype. Form 144s filed today indicate ~$3m of sales. https://t.co/3UrKd4AXRe

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.9B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.3B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 2 clicks

Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating

Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…

KTOS $7.8B

Arizona Equity Research Oct 29

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.1B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.3B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $7.6B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers

TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…

TTMI $8.6B

Nicolas Bolsinger Oct 27 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.3B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.4B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 25 19 clicks

PSN · long

Parsons CORP

Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.

PSN $5.4B

Value Investors Club Aug 2

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.4B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 80 clicks

ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double

EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…

EXLS $6.3B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 24 4 clicks

Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)

Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…

OSCR $9.7B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 23 5 clicks

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $7.4B

HFI Research Oct 22 10 clicks

MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview

MYR Group’s Q3 2026 preview cites data-center and power transmission demand, with long-term service agreements supporting margin growth and…

MYRG $4.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 22 6 clicks

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

MOS $5.8B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 13 clicks

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $5.8B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 34 clicks

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

MOS $5.8B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 5 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Western Digital, Penguin Solutions, Millrose Properties And More

Western Digital, Penguin Solutions and Millrose Properties lead a roundup of 12 lesser-followed stocks featured from Oct. 10 to Oct. 16.

PENG $3.6BMRP $4B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 22 17 clicks

Saturday, October 31, 2026

A Capital on X

George Noble on X

David Orr on X

mavix on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

David Orr on X

SG on X

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