Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap
Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.
Friday, October 30, 2026
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Look at $FDXF. A month of underperformance based on “channel checks,” followed by a ~15% move and multiple analyst upgrades after a single session (catalyst day). https://t.co/X81f5cl6Eh https://t.co/FfwGWZlciQ
Barbarian Capital on X
Starbucks sales miss expectations, but its U.S. turnaround is gaining steam $SBUX https://t.co/kPufTMV5zS
Barbarian Capital on X
Reddit stock plunges 30% after weak outlook, heads for worst day ever $RDDT https://t.co/aemPgp56rc
Barbarian Capital on X
BP’s profits surge to new record on high fuel prices $BP https://t.co/bUl30Vb4Ti
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
Woah, massive $PESI news out tonight... DOE breaks ground on new cleanup system at Hanford Site - Elkhorn Media Group https://t.co/jYZklPDW4S
SouthernValue on X
Meanwhile @OpenAI pulled IPO and can barely get its latest funding round off. $META and $GOOG will win consumer AI. https://t.co/eqJPtwTTwh
SouthernValue on X
What year will $MSFT take @OpenAI into receivership?
Barbarian Capital on X
CD&R pursues buyout of $40 bn card processor Global Payments $GPN https://t.co/Wil5Zf6xn7
Investor Letters
All letters- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 HDLMY $29BIQV $45B
- Sound Shore Management third quarter of 2026 BP $130BLUV $21B
- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 CLVT $1.1BAAP $2.8B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.8BAMZN $2.6T
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SNY Earnings Review
Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.
SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain
SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…
Adam Schadt 2 clicks
Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts
Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.
Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks
Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years
Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.
Rick Orford 5 clicks
Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY
Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.
Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.
Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…
Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation
Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
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DLTR · long Dollar Tree INC
Dollar Tree is long after divesting Family Dollar, separating its stronger banner from its weaker business.
Netflix Q3 Earnings Update
Netflix Q3 earnings update revises the thesis and rating.
CoreWeave: It’s Not Dying, Not Anytime Soon
CoreWeave is compared with Amazon's early public years, when investors expected bankruptcy amid losses and dependence on outside capital.
Berkshire Put Bending Spoons On My Radar
Bending Spoons has spent about $10 billion on software acquisitions, including pending Miro, while Q2 organic growth was 3% and all…
Jack Bowman 10 clicks
Eli Lilly And Co. (LLY)
Eli Lilly's Mounjaro and Zepbound drove 2025 revenue to $65.2 billion as the drugmaker expands AI partnerships with Nvidia, Isomorphic…
Gladstone Investment: High Dividend Increases And NAV Gains, But Very Risky
Gladstone Investment's 50% equity portfolio drove NAV and dividend gains, but five holdings make up 44.5% of fair value and heighten Level…
Stephen Nemo 4 clicks
Why I sold OB pick for 26 SVM
Silvercorp’s falling Ying grades, prolonged GC suspension, El Domo execution risk and Chaarat funding needs weaken its valuation despite…
ServiceNow: The Shift From Seats To 'Assists' Uncaps Exponential Growth
ServiceNow is shifting from seat-based subscriptions to usage-based AI “Assists,” expanding revenue potential across its enterprise…
Raul Shah 11 clicks
Use of AI is boosting Snowflake’s revenue while mortal companies may take longer
Snowflake says internal AI use is lifting revenue and profit, while customers show early implementation success.
Netflix Earnings, Business or Franchise, Disney’s Deal
Netflix’s earnings raise questions about whether its growth profile still merits a franchise valuation, alongside discussion of Disney’s…
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