Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap
Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.
Friday, October 30, 2026
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Look at $FDXF. A month of underperformance based on “channel checks,” followed by a ~15% move and multiple analyst upgrades after a single session (catalyst day). https://t.co/X81f5cl6Eh https://t.co/FfwGWZlciQ
Barbarian Capital on X
Starbucks sales miss expectations, but its U.S. turnaround is gaining steam $SBUX https://t.co/kPufTMV5zS
Barbarian Capital on X
Reddit stock plunges 30% after weak outlook, heads for worst day ever $RDDT https://t.co/aemPgp56rc
Barbarian Capital on X
BP’s profits surge to new record on high fuel prices $BP https://t.co/bUl30Vb4Ti
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
Woah, massive $PESI news out tonight... DOE breaks ground on new cleanup system at Hanford Site - Elkhorn Media Group https://t.co/jYZklPDW4S
SouthernValue on X
Meanwhile @OpenAI pulled IPO and can barely get its latest funding round off. $META and $GOOG will win consumer AI. https://t.co/eqJPtwTTwh
SouthernValue on X
What year will $MSFT take @OpenAI into receivership?
Barbarian Capital on X
CD&R pursues buyout of $40 bn card processor Global Payments $GPN https://t.co/Wil5Zf6xn7
Investor Letters
All letters- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 HDLMY $32BIQV $43B
- Sound Shore Management third quarter of 2026 BP $125BLUV $21B
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SNY Earnings Review
Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.
SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain
SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…
Adam Schadt 2 clicks
Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts
Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.
Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks
Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years
Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.
Rick Orford 5 clicks
Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY
Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.
Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.
Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…
Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation
Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
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MOH · long Molina Healthcare
Molina Healthcare faces unprecedented Medicaid managed-care cost inflation and margin compression after its shares declined since October…
Preview of a new war between Apple and Qualcomm
Apple is accelerating its Qualcomm modem design-out before the April 2027 licensing expiry, threatening Qualcomm's high-margin handset…
This business can always surprise you
Danaher cut 2026 core revenue growth guidance to 3-4% as delayed chromatography resin shipments hit bioprocessing, while life sciences…
Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged
Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…
Bloom Energy Corp Earnings Update: A quick look
Bloom Energy posted $1.065 billion in Q2 revenue, up 165.5%, as AI data-center demand lifted margins, operating income and full-year…
Google’s AI Return on Investment
Alphabet’s $132 billion AI capex produced an estimated 49% post-tax incremental ROIC once only in-service assets are counted, versus a…
American Express: Q2 2026 Results
American Express reiterated 2026 EPS growth guidance of 12.5% to 16.4% after Q2 volume and revenue growth, while operational and accounting…
Seer
Seer trades at $2.04 against $3.90 per share of net cash as activists press a board that rejected five buyout proposals and won reelection.
Reflections on quality investing
A 10-factor quality table ranks companies by moats, pricing power, balance sheets and growth, then applies it to 10 Buffett investments.
DoorDash: The Infrastructure of Local Commerce
DoorDash built a last-mile logistics network around restaurant delivery, then extended it to groceries, convenience, and other local…
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