Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap
Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.
Friday, October 30, 2026
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Look at $FDXF. A month of underperformance based on “channel checks,” followed by a ~15% move and multiple analyst upgrades after a single session (catalyst day). https://t.co/X81f5cl6Eh https://t.co/FfwGWZlciQ
Barbarian Capital on X
Starbucks sales miss expectations, but its U.S. turnaround is gaining steam $SBUX https://t.co/kPufTMV5zS
Barbarian Capital on X
Reddit stock plunges 30% after weak outlook, heads for worst day ever $RDDT https://t.co/aemPgp56rc
Barbarian Capital on X
BP’s profits surge to new record on high fuel prices $BP https://t.co/bUl30Vb4Ti
SouthernValue on X
Meanwhile @OpenAI pulled IPO and can barely get its latest funding round off. $META and $GOOG will win consumer AI. https://t.co/eqJPtwTTwh
SouthernValue on X
What year will $MSFT take @OpenAI into receivership?
Barbarian Capital on X
CD&R pursues buyout of $40 bn card processor Global Payments $GPN https://t.co/Wil5Zf6xn7
Barbarian Capital on X
"higher sales and recent cost-savings efforts weren’t able to fully offset steeper-than-expected inflation." $NWL Newell Brands Swings to Loss Despite Higher Sales https://t.co/WPRdY3lzz3
Investor Letters
All letters- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 HDLMY $32BIQV $43B
- Sound Shore Management third quarter of 2026 BP $125BLUV $21B
- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 CLVT $1.4BAAP $2.9B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BAMZN $2.9T
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 BOIVF $12BAVOL $8.1B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 CACI $15BGOOGL $3.4T
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SNY Earnings Review
Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.
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Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts
Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.
Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks
Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years
Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.
Rick Orford 5 clicks
Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY
Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.
Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.
Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…
Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation
Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…
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GLXY · long Galaxy Digital INC
Galaxy Digital (GLXY) is presented as a long investment idea.
Quality Trap or Buying Opportunities? IBP and MTD Updates
Installed Building Products and Mettler-Toledo, down 38% and 32%, test whether lower valuations reflect deteriorating moats or cyclical…
Transocean / Valaris Merger: DOJ's Second Request, Is it a Bust?
Transocean's acquisition of Valaris faces a DOJ second request, putting the offshore-drilling merger's antitrust approval and closing…
Compass Pathways: Deep Dive Analysis
Compass Pathways plans a Q4 2026 NDA submission for COMP360, a synthetic psilocybin treatment for resistant depression, backed by $466…
MercadoLibre: The Amazon of the Amazon
MercadoLibre combines Latin American e-commerce, proprietary logistics and Mercado Pago’s payments data to build a consumer lending…
Grab Q1'26: Profitable Growth, Reasonable Valuation
Grab reported Q1 2026 operating leverage, targeted financial-services breakeven by H2 and held $5 billion cash while advertising average…
Malone U-Turns on Liberty Latin America | GLIBK
GCI Liberty reversed its planned Liberty Latin America share swap with John Malone, who will buy GCI’s $107 million LLA stake at cost after…
Single Stock Spotlight #8: Hallador Energy (HNRG)
Hallador Energy’s 1 GW Merom coal plant recasts HNRG from a thermal coal miner into an Indiana independent power producer positioned for…
Ferrari: The Business That Grows by Selling Less Than It Could
Ferrari sustains pricing power by limiting production, controlling distribution and protecting resale values, turning buyers into repeat…
Decoding Success: Jeremy Raper – The Cost of Being Right [Part 4]
Jeremy Raper’s 2017 Sharp and Japan Display shorts bet OLED disruption would puncture inflated LCD valuations; his 2019 NIO short lost…
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