Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap
Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.
Friday, October 30, 2026
Back to today
From X
A Capital on X
Look at $FDXF. A month of underperformance based on “channel checks,” followed by a ~15% move and multiple analyst upgrades after a single session (catalyst day). https://t.co/X81f5cl6Eh https://t.co/FfwGWZlciQ
Barbarian Capital on X
Starbucks sales miss expectations, but its U.S. turnaround is gaining steam $SBUX https://t.co/kPufTMV5zS
Barbarian Capital on X
Reddit stock plunges 30% after weak outlook, heads for worst day ever $RDDT https://t.co/aemPgp56rc
Barbarian Capital on X
BP’s profits surge to new record on high fuel prices $BP https://t.co/bUl30Vb4Ti
SouthernValue on X
Meanwhile @OpenAI pulled IPO and can barely get its latest funding round off. $META and $GOOG will win consumer AI. https://t.co/eqJPtwTTwh
SouthernValue on X
What year will $MSFT take @OpenAI into receivership?
Barbarian Capital on X
CD&R pursues buyout of $40 bn card processor Global Payments $GPN https://t.co/Wil5Zf6xn7
Barbarian Capital on X
"higher sales and recent cost-savings efforts weren’t able to fully offset steeper-than-expected inflation." $NWL Newell Brands Swings to Loss Despite Higher Sales https://t.co/WPRdY3lzz3
Investor Letters
All letters- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 HDLMY $32BIQV $43B
- Sound Shore Management third quarter of 2026 BP $125BLUV $21B
- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 AAP $2.9BCUUCF $5.3B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BAMZN $2.9T
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 BOIVF $12BAVOL $8.1B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 CACI $15BGOOGL $3.4T
- Fairtree Asset Management Q3 2026 SSL $11B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 TLN $17BZEG $5.6B
SNY Earnings Review
Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.
SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain
SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…
Adam Schadt 2 clicks
Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts
Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.
Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks
Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years
Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.
Rick Orford 5 clicks
Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY
Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.
Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.
Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…
Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation
Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…
Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
HHH · long Howard Hughes Holdings INC
Howard Hughes Holdings is pitched as a long in the $60s, with a near-term $90 target and a projected 20%+ IRR.
Kazakhstan, Japan, and Trimming a Winner
Kaspi.kz’s 850 KZT ADS dividend establishes a roughly 9% yield after Hepsiburada spending; Japanese buyback disclosures test whether 0.61x…
Portfolio Update February 2026
Constellation Software and Roper Technologies became 13% and 16% holdings after an AI-driven software selloff, while Ashtead and Kraft…
Is the Airline Industry Really That Bad? – AerCap and A Case of Sandbagged Guidance
AerCap sells aircraft at 2x book value and repurchases stock near 1x book, cutting shares outstanding 31% in three years.
Greg Abel’s 2026 Letter to Shareholders
Greg Abel reaffirms Berkshire Hathaway’s annual-only CEO communication policy and pledges to preserve its decentralized culture while…
Sleep Well Portfolio (Feb 2026) - Software AI risk Assessed
Sleep Well Portfolio cuts SPS Commerce after assessing AI risk across 12 software holdings, finding deterministic, rule-based data…
APi Group: How the story has evolved and what's next
APi Group hit its 13/60/80 targets in 2025, reporting $7.9 billion revenue, 13.2% EBITDA margin and 80% free-cash-flow conversion, then set…
Mispriced Domino’s Mention Contract: Kalshi Traders Haven’t Ordered This Yet!
Domino’s Q4 2025 Kalshi contract prices “craveable” at 37%, while First Strike’s transcript model assigns 68.4% before social-sentiment…
Copart: 2Q26 Business Recap
Copart’s fiscal Q2 2026 revenue fell 4% and U.S. insurance units dropped 11%, as underinsured drivers and carrier volumes weighed while IAA…
Grab Holdings ($GRAB) - Addressing the key risks to holding the stock
Grab’s main holding risks are competition, sustainable profitability and valuation, with entrenched ride-hailing and delivery positions…
Publications we follow
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
Newsletters 109
- 310 Value’s Newsletter
- Absurdly Cheap Stocks
- Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing
- AmsterdamStocks
- Asian Century Stocks
- Aurelion Research
- Base Hit Investing
- Bearhold Research
- Bearstone
- Behind the Balance Sheet
- Best Anchor Stocks
- Bilbel's Substack
- Bison Insights
- Brevarthan Research
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Byron Street Research
- Calvin Blissett
- Cannibal Stocks
- Capital Employed
- Capitalist Letters
- Cassandra Unchained
- Chipstrat
- Citrini Research
- Cluseau Research
- CV's Substack
- D Invests
- Daniel Romero
- Deep Value Insights
- Dismissed & Asset-Backed
- Doomberg
- Eagle Point Capital
- Easy Value
- Emerging Moats Research
- Exploring with Alluvial Capital
- Ezra's Notes
- Fabricated Knowledge
- First Strike Research
- Flyover Stocks
- Global Outperformers
- Guardian Research
- Hated Moats
- Hayden Capital
- Healthy Stock Picks
- HFI Research
- Hidden Gems Investing
- Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter
- Ian’s Insider Corner
- Iggy on Investing Newsletter
- Inglenook Growth
- Invariant
- Invested Capital
- Investing 501
- Irrational Analysis
- Jimmy's Journal
- John Hempton's Newsletter
- Kairos Research
- Kakashii's Materials
- Key Context by Tae Kim
- Latticework by MOI Global
- Lewistown Capital
- Librarian Capital's Research Library
- Maius Partners
- MBI Deep Dives
- Mispriced Assets
- Modern Value Investing
- Monte Independent Investment Research
- Multibagger Monitor
- Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter
- Net Interest
- Nongaap Investing
- Nugget Capital Partner's Substack
- Open Insights
- Orphan REITs
- Overlooked Alpha
- P Equity Research
- PETITION
- Phynvesting
- Raging Bull Investments
- Real Assets, Real Value
- Rebound Capital
- Rod’s Ruminations
- ROE The Boat
- scuttleblurb
- Sector Stories
- SemiAnalysis
- Shallow Dives
- Singularity Research
- SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets
- Sleep Well Investments
- Speedwell Memos
- Stock Thoughts
- Substack von Philipp
- Sunday's Idea Brunch
- Sylence Capital
- The Curious Compounder
- The Mikro Kap
- The Oak Bloke
- The Rational Walk
- The Value Road
- Trade Ideas Flow
- Treasure Hunting
- Triple S Special Situations Investing
- TSOH Investment Research
- Underlying Value
- Value Don't Lie
- Vik's Newsletter
- WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate”
- XIX Value
- Yet Another Value Blog
Blogs 15
- Atrium Research - Equity Research
- Bireme Capital - Investor Letters
- Cestrian Capital Research
- Choice Equities Capital Management
- Clark Street Value
- Crossroads Capital | Research-driven, Value-centric
- Hunterbrook
- Kerrisdale Capital
- NoNameStocks
- Raging Capital
- Speedwell Research
- Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology.
- The Technology Letter
- Undervalued Shares
- Value Investors Club
Seeking Alpha 70 of 272
- Adam Schadt
Albert Anthony
Andres Veurink
Arizona Equity Research
Bay Area Ideas
Blake Winiecki
Capital Connoisseur
Dane Bowler
David Zanoni
Deep Value Investing
Dhierin Bechai
Dilantha De Silva
Dustin Quasney
Elliott Gue
Equity Eagle
Eudaemon Research
Fernanda Galvez Jalil
Fountainhead
Geneva Investor
Given Mahlangu
Henrik Alex
High Alpha Professor
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez
Infinity Curve
Investor Overview
IWA Research
Jaden Mealy
JR Research
Julia Ostian
Khaveen Investments
Kurt Christensen
Lee Bailey
LL Insights
Long Player
Marc Gerstein
Melissa Tucker
Mike Arnold
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
Miletus Research
Myriam Alvarez
Petri Dish Reports
Philip Wang
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA
PropNotes
PV Research
Quantryon Capital
Robert J. Lake
Ron Ferrie
Ryan Canady
Sam Mancini
Seeking Profits
Sharon McArd
SiliconBytes Insights
Simple Investment Ideas
Sorrento Research
Stephen Ayers
Steven Fiorillo
The Alpha Analyst
The Asian Investor
The Bullionaire
The Curious Analyst
The J Thesis
The Market Auditor
The Supercycle Investor
The Undercovered Dozen
Tim Travis
Uttam Dey
Value Capital Research
Vishal Jadaun
Zoltan Ban
X accounts we follow
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
⚽️📡
💥PETITION💥
A Capital
absreturnchaser
Adam D. Wyden
Alpha Vulture
AltayCap
Asif Suria
Bank Reg Blog
Barbarian Capital
BDC
Bill Ackman
Brian McGough
Broken Moats
BuccoCapital Bloke
Calvin Blissett
catechwilliams
Charles Frischer
Chris Camillo
Clark Square Capital
Cluseau Investments
Colin King
Connor Haley
Conor Maguire | Value Situations
Convequity
Dalius - Special Sits
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Derek Pilecki
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Fajasy
Farmer
Fierce_beast
Fred Liu
Gavin Baker
George Noble
Hunterbrook
Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Kevin Mak
Kuppy
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
Maj Soueidan
marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs”
Multiples Capital
Myles
Nat Stewart
Negligible Capital
Odd Diligence
Odd Lot Arbitrageur
PAA Research
Paradis
Pernas Research
Porter Collins
Prepared Remarks
Psyop Capital
Raging Capital Ventures
Red Dog Capital- RiverRoadPartners
Rohan Pavuluri
Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
Serenity
SG
Sheel Mohnot
SouthernValue
Steve Eisman
The Friendly Bear
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
Todd Wenning
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Undiscovered Compounders
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1 Main Capital
- 13D Activist Fund
- 1851 Capital
- 49 Financial
- Advisory Research
- Aegis Value Fund
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpine Capital Research
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Amati Global Investors
- Amber River
- Andrew Hill Investment Advisors
- Andvari Associates
- Angel Oak Capital Advisors
- Ariel Investments
- Aristotle Funds
- Artisan Partners
- Askeladden Capital
- Asset Value Investors Ltd
- Atherean Asset Management
- Auxier Asset Management
- Avenue Investment Management
- Azvalor Asset Management
- BBH
- Bailard
- Baird Equity Asset Management
- Barometer Capital Management
- Baron Funds
- Bell Asset Management
- Bengal Capital
- Berkshire Hathaway
- Biglari Holdings
- Biondo Investment Advisors
- Bireme Capital
- BlackRock
- Blue Tower Asset Management
- Brasada Capital
- Bretton Fund
- Brighton Jones
- Bristlemoon Capital
- Broadleaf Partners
- Broyhill Asset Management
- Brummer & Partners
- ByteTree
- Cambiar Investors
- Cantor Fitzgerald Asset Management
- Carrington Wealth Management
- Castlebay Investment Partners
- Cedar Creek Partners
- Cedar Grove Capital Management
- Chautauqua Capital Management
- Chevy Chase Trust
- Chilton Capital Management
- Choice Equities
- Claret Asset Management
- Comus Investment
- Conestoga Capital Advisors
- Confluence Investment Management
- CrossingBridge Advisors
- Crossroads Capital, LLC
- Curreen Capital
- Davenport Asset Management
- Davis Advisors Global ADR
- Davis Advisors Large Cap Value
- Davis Opportunity Fund
- Davis Real Estate Fund
- Diranko Capital
- Distillate Capital
- Dodge & Cox Stock Fund
- Donville Kent Asset Management Inc.
- DoubleLine
- East 72
- East Capital
- Easterly Asset Management
- EdgePoint Wealth Management
- Equity Management Associates
- Evolve Private Wealth
- FPA Crescent Fund
- Fairlight Capital
- Fairtree Asset Management
- Fenimore Asset Management
- Fiduciary Management
- Fiera Capital
- Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
- First Eagle Investments
- Forager Funds Management
- Frank Capital Partners
- Fred Alger Management, LLC
- GROW Funds
- Gabelli Funds
- Giverny Capital
- Glass Lake Wealth Management
- Glenmede Investment Management
- GoodHaven Capital Management
- Grandeur Peak Global Advisors
- GreenWood Investors
- Greenhaven Road Capital
- GreensKeeper Asset Management
- Greenwood Gearhart
- Gresham House
- Gresham House Strategic Equity Capital
- Grey Owl Capital Management
- Guinness Global Investors
- Halvio Capital
- Harding Loevner
- Harry Qelm Baabsman
- Hayden Capital
- Heartland Advisors
- Heptagon Capital Future Trends Equity Fund
- Heptagon Capital Kettle Hill US L/S Equity Fund
- Highwood Value Partners
- Hinde Group
- Hoisington Investment Management
- Hood River Capital Management
- Horizon Kinetics
- Horos Asset Management
- Hosking Partners
- Hotchkis & Wiley
- Infuse Asset Management
- Intrepid Capital
- Invenomic Capital Management
- Ironvine Capital Partners
- JB Global Capital
- JM Finn
- Janus Henderson Investors
- Jemekk Capital Management
- Kathmandu Capital
- Kaydan Wealth Management
- Kennedy Capital Management
- Kernow Asset Management
- Kingdom Capital Advisors
- LVS Advisory
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund
- Langdon Equity Partners
- Lansing Street Advisors
- Latitude Investment Management
- Laughing Water Capital
- Leonard Rickey Investment Advisors
- Lindsell Train Limited
- Long Cast Advisers
- Lyrical Asset Management
- Manole Capital Management
- Mar Vista Investment Partners
- Maran Capital Management
- Markel Group
- Marram Investment Management
- Massif Capital
- Matrix Asset Advisors
- Matthews Asia
- Mayar Capital
- McIntyre Partnerships
- Merion Road Capital
- Miller Value Partners
- Miller/Howard Investments
- Minot Light Capital Partners
- Minotaur Capital
- Mondrian Investment Partners
- Moneta Group
- Montaka Global Investments
- Moon Capital Management
- Mott Capital Management
- Mountain Vista Wealth Management
- Muhlenkamp & Company
- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- Nelnet
- Newport Capital Group
- Next Century Growth Investors
- Night Watch Investment Management
- Nightview Capital
- Nixon Capital
- North Sky Capital
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory
- Oak Associates Funds
- Oak Ridge Investments
- Oakmark Funds
- Oldfield Partners
- Open Insights Capital
- Ophir Asset Management
- Optimist Fund
- Orange Investment Advisors
- Oujo Wealth Strategies
- Palm Harbour Capital
- Palm Valley Capital
- Patient Capital Management
- Peak Asset Management
- Peapack Private
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
- Pittenger & Anderson
- Plural Investing
- Polaris Capital Management
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
- Polen Capital U.S. Opportunistic High Yield
- Praetorian Capital
- Protean Funds
- Pzena Investment Management
- QuantStreet Capital
- Quercus Fund
- REQ Capital
- RF Capital Management
- RGA Investment Advisors
- ROCKLINC Investment Partners
- Regency Wealth Management
- Rewey Asset Management
- Right Tail Capital
- RiverPark Funds
- Riverwater Partners
- Robinson Capital Management
- Rowan Street Capital
- Royce Investment Partners
- SRK Capital
- Saga Partners
- SaltLight Capital
- Seafarer Capital Partners
- Sequoia Fund
- Seven Corners Capital
- Shelton Capital Management
- Sigil
- Signia Capital Management
- Skybound Wealth Management
- Smead Capital Management
- Social Capital
- Sorfis Investments
- Sound Shore Management
- Southeastern Asset Management
- SouthernSun Asset Management
- Sparrow Wealth Management
- Spyglass Capital Management
- Starvine Capital
- Stenham Asset Management
- Stewart Asset Management
- Steyn Capital
- Stone Ridge Asset Management
- Stone Sentinel Capital
- Stonehearth Capital Management
- Summers Value Partners
- Sustainable Growth Advisers
- TEAM Asset Management
- TIFF Investment Management
- Tall Oak Capital Advisors
- The London Company
- Third Avenue Management
- Third Point
- TimesSquare Capital Management
- Troy Asset Management
- Tweedy, Browne
- Unconventional Value
- Upslope Capital Management
- VH Standard Asset Management
- Vision Capital Fund
- Vltava Fund
- Voss Capital
- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
- Wealthspire Advisors
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- WestEnd Capital Management
- Westfield Capital Management
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
- YCG Investments
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
