Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap
Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.
Friday, October 30, 2026
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Look at $FDXF. A month of underperformance based on “channel checks,” followed by a ~15% move and multiple analyst upgrades after a single session (catalyst day). https://t.co/X81f5cl6Eh https://t.co/FfwGWZlciQ
Barbarian Capital on X
Starbucks sales miss expectations, but its U.S. turnaround is gaining steam $SBUX https://t.co/kPufTMV5zS
Barbarian Capital on X
Reddit stock plunges 30% after weak outlook, heads for worst day ever $RDDT https://t.co/aemPgp56rc
Barbarian Capital on X
BP’s profits surge to new record on high fuel prices $BP https://t.co/bUl30Vb4Ti
SouthernValue on X
Meanwhile @OpenAI pulled IPO and can barely get its latest funding round off. $META and $GOOG will win consumer AI. https://t.co/eqJPtwTTwh
SouthernValue on X
What year will $MSFT take @OpenAI into receivership?
Barbarian Capital on X
CD&R pursues buyout of $40 bn card processor Global Payments $GPN https://t.co/Wil5Zf6xn7
Barbarian Capital on X
"higher sales and recent cost-savings efforts weren’t able to fully offset steeper-than-expected inflation." $NWL Newell Brands Swings to Loss Despite Higher Sales https://t.co/WPRdY3lzz3
Investor Letters
All letters- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 HDLMY $32BIQV $43B
- Sound Shore Management third quarter of 2026 BP $125BLUV $21B
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SNY Earnings Review
Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.
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Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts
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Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks
Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
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Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years
Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.
Rick Orford 5 clicks
Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY
Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.
Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.
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Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation
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Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity
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QXO · long QXO, Inc.
QXO, led by Brad Jacobs, is consolidating North America’s fragmented building-products distribution industry after rapidly building scale…
Floor & Decor: 1Q26 Business Update
Floor & Decor cut 2026 guidance after 1Q same-store sales fell 3.7%, while shrinking new-store formats, cutting comparable-store SG&A and…
Quick Value #313 - Magnum Ice Cream (MICC)
Magnum Ice Cream (MICC), spun off from Unilever, trades at 13x NTM earnings and 8x EBITDA as its 3 million-freezer fleet supports a 2-3…
Meta: 1Q26 Business Update
Meta’s Q1 2026 revenue rose 33% as ad impressions gained 19%, while AI-driven ranking and targeting lifted engagement and conversion;…
Meta 1Q26 Business Update: The Big Personalzied AI Bet
Meta grew first-quarter revenue 33% as AI lifted engagement and ad conversion, while data-center depreciation cut margins and personalized…
GPGI Inc.
GPGI, formerly CompoSecure, is David Cote’s $4.2 billion industrial acquisition platform, managed by Resolute Holdings for 2.5% of adjusted…
$SN: The Sneaky Compounder With 40% Upside (No Paywall)
SharkNinja, spun off from Hong Kong-listed JS Global Lifestyle and listed at $42.31 in July 2023, is pitched as a 40% upside compounder.
Under The Hood: Ulta Beauty, Inc. ($ULTA)
Ulta Beauty’s 46 million-member loyalty model drove strong historical cash flow, but earnings have stalled since fiscal 2022 as SG&A rose;…
The Maintenance Capex Mirage at Americold ($COLD) and Lineage ($LINE)
Americold and Lineage face a cold-storage supply overhang, weakening rents and labor and power costs that pressure thin NOI margins and…
Apple Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis
Apple’s Kalshi earnings-call contracts price mentions of “foldable” and “glasses,” while its 24-year transcript record indicates management…
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