Friday, October 30, 2026

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

ADT $7.2BBBW $371M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Oct 29 BBW $371M

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Cassandra Unchained 3 clicks

Oct 29 MAT $4.3B

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Latticework by MOI Global 3 clicks

From X

@AlphaVulture Jan 23

Alpha Vulture on X

@olvehe That’s why I use $XPEL paint protection film on all my cars 😉

@HedgeyeRetail Jan 8

Brian McGough on X

Really, this Q is just $HELE being HELE. The company is structurally broken. Not investing enough to prevent a melt down in the core, while it overpays for 'average' assets, and tries to make up for it with creative accounting. Best Idea Short -- the gift that will forever give back... That does not mean it's a perma-short. The price at any given point in time matters. But right now, it's still a Short. @HedgeyeRetailJM @HedgeyeRetailRW

@AlphaVulture Dec 20

Alpha Vulture on X

Tough end of the year in merger arb land $BATL, $RVNC, $X, $ACI, $CPRI

@catechwilliams Dec 19

catechwilliams on X

$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 18

Brian McGough on X

We went Long $BIRK this past weekend. The call was timed ahead of this print, which we thought would be well ahead. But the call is much bigger than beating the qtr. No reason why this won't compound to a double+ over TAIL duration.

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 13

Brian McGough on X

Where are all the $RH haters/trolls this morning? <crickets> This stock could be $600 in short order, and it will likely STILL be a long!

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 9

Brian McGough on X

Pumped about this Well upgrade of $REAL. We've been long and strong this one since a buck. Don't need to rethink my thesis until it's over $10. Quad 2 will likely take it there...It's got the hot hand right now.

@gatorcapital Nov 25

Derek Pilecki on X

Rich Howe hosted me on his new podcast. We talked about some of the spin-offs I've invested in: $VRTS, $JXN, & $VOYA. https://t.co/6jbvrdaj0a

Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating

Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…

KTOS $6.8B

Arizona Equity Research Oct 29

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.2B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive

Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…

DAKT $977M

Hidden Gems Investing Oct 28 6 clicks

Alexandria Real Estate: Market Sees Declining Occupancy, I See Early Recovery Signs (Rating Downgrade)

Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) faces lease expirations and occupancy pressure through 2028, but leasing momentum supports a projected…

ARE $7.4B

Luuk Wierenga Oct 28

Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record

Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…

ENVA $4.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 28 3 clicks

Xenia Hotels: A Buy Ahead Of Q3 Results, Betting On Continued Portfolio Quality

Xenia Hotels & Resorts pairs luxury hotel assets, brand affiliations and planned renovations with investment-grade credit and covered…

XHR $2B

Albert Anthony Oct 28 2 clicks

Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap

Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.

INOD $1.5BAMKR $8.8B

The Technology Letter Oct 27 6 clicks

AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth

AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.

APPF $8.4B

Speedwell Research Oct 27 5 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII

Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…

KRMN $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 27 1 click

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

IREN $9.2BFRMI $1.3B

CV's Substack Oct 26 16 clicks

RYZ · long

Ryerson Holding CORP

Ryerson Holding (RYZ) is a long position following its all-stock merger with Olympic Steel, at 1.7105 RYZ shares per Olympic Steel share.

RYZ $1.4B

Value Investors Club Aug 1

Amkor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amkor's Q3 sales were flat at $1.991 billion as computing and automotive/industrial growth offset a 27% communications decline; Q4 sales…

AMKR $8.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 26 4 clicks

Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x

A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…

INTR $1.7B

Calvin Blissett Oct 26 38 clicks

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

KNSL $8.8B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch

Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…

DUOL $7.6B

Geneva Investor Oct 26 4 clicks

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…

HTZ $806M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 69 clicks

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $1.3BINTR $1.7B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

Digital Marketing Leader Klaviyo Deserves A Strong Buy

Klaviyo's customer-data platform and new AI Composer product underpin a bullish growth case, with Salesforce's Braze acquisition cited as a…

KVYO $5.8B

Fountainhead Oct 25 2 clicks

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.6B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 25 20 clicks

Avalo Therapeutics: Contrarian 'Buy' Ahead Of Abdakibart's Phase 3

Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…

AVTX $379M

Myriam Alvarez Oct 25 3 clicks

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Friday, October 30, 2026

Alpha Vulture on X

Brian McGough on X

Alpha Vulture on X

catechwilliams on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

Derek Pilecki on X

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