This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Thursday, October 29, 2026
Back to today 
From X
BDC on X
Yes. Minority specs investors get in line. 7k patents. No puck. Who wants to do the sotp for $snap when they get the $5B (at least) mark on Specs? Is 2.5x ebitda cheap? https://t.co/Y3kEu8rObr
Barbarian Capital on X
Grail’s Multi-Cancer Blood Test Gets FDA Committee Vote for Premarket Approval $GRAL https://t.co/bdcNEQtgT5
Barbarian Capital on X
Activist Starboard Urges Construction Company to Explore Sale $KNF https://t.co/SaDmClimTV
Barbarian Capital on X
Barry Diller Withdraws Bid for MGM Resorts $MGM https://t.co/2iXlXJ49gY
Barbarian Capital on X
$CROX is the footwear for historic moments https://t.co/BWIcDcD92J
A Capital on X
The $MGM bid was fugazzi. Now we buy? https://t.co/Zi2T462m8v
John_Hempton on X
@StanG42548339 @420yooper69AMC I appreciate it. By putting all that money into $AMC you allowed $AMC to issue more shares. It used that to repay bonds owned by hedge funds and bought at a discount. Hedge funds made money. You lost. Thanks for playing.
Trevor Scott on X
@HatedMoats the pump is crazy, but people comparing this to $TTD when it's already down by half and at pretty reasonable valuation given growth seems a bit excessive. I find the company pretty intriguing.
Investor Letters
All letters- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BCALY $2.8B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 AVOL $8.1BFCODF $4.5B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 VVV $4.3B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.3B
- 1 Main Capital third quarter 2026 BFIT $2.1BHGV $3B
- Polaris Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 G $6.6BLKQ $5B
- Bretton Fund 3rd Quarter 2026 MBGL $5.6B
- GreensKeeper Asset Management Q3 2026 MBGL $5.6BMKTX $5.8B
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIII
Monte Investments updates Carpenter Technology after a 25% sell-off, tracks EQT’s $12.83 billion Range Resources acquisition and assesses…
The Data Center Bridge
Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…
Molina & Kinsale
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Duolingo: The 2027 Bull Case Is Hidden In The Monetization Switch
Duolingo sacrificed over $50 million of 2026 bookings to reduce free-app friction, reaccelerate daily users and target 100 million DAUs by…
Geneva Investor 4 clicks
Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double
EXLService's AI-led business, 61% of revenue and growing 30% year over year, trades at 18 times forward earnings after legacy digital…
Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 4 clicks
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…
WULF · long Terawulf INC
TeraWulf is shifting from bitcoin mining toward data centers, seeking a higher-quality and more defensive business model.
Digital Marketing Leader Klaviyo Deserves A Strong Buy
Klaviyo's customer-data platform and new AI Composer product underpin a bullish growth case, with Salesforce's Braze acquisition cited as a…
Fountainhead 2 clicks
Oscar Health: Up Over 200% From The March Lows, Still Room To Run (Ticker: OSCR)
Oscar Health raised 2026 operating earnings guidance to $600 million-$800 million after ACA-marketplace expansion drove 60% membership and…
Trade Alert - Long RIG
HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.
MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview
MYR Group’s Q3 2026 preview cites data-center and power transmission demand, with long-term service agreements supporting margin growth and…
Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later
Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…
Mosaic, Part One: The Story
Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.
Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive
Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.
Undercovered Dozen: Western Digital, Penguin Solutions, Millrose Properties And More
Western Digital, Penguin Solutions and Millrose Properties lead a roundup of 12 lesser-followed stocks featured from Oct. 10 to Oct. 16.
The Undercovered Dozen 17 clicks
Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)
Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…
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