Another Haircut with Avy the Barber
SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.
Thursday, October 29, 2026
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marginofdanger on X
The SF housing market is on fire. Should bode very well for $FPH's Candlestick project, including finding financing partners. https://t.co/vFjXoS2coK
Timyan Bank Alert on X
@DrSichuan at this rate, a few more. I'm amazed people keep voting for Chevis' slate. He had ten years where he could have and should have sold to $FBMS for a large premium to today's price. The $PFBX over Chevis decades-long regime is anemic.
Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X
MDVT is smaller and trades at approx. half the multiple of CMTV. Disclosure: long $MDVT
Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X
Dominant local franchise: 5 branches and 56% deposit market share in Addison county. ~2/3 of loan book in resi mortgages. Owns most of its office locations and 50% of a $1.6b trust company in a JV with $CMTV.
Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X
National Bank of Middlebury $MDVT: one of the oldest community banks in the country; received its charter in 1831. Trades at +/- 7x ntm earnings. https://t.co/ZryrKkgLGm
ToffCap on X
I'm perfectly fine doing this EVERY quarter $MRX https://t.co/xMuf6mnfZZ https://t.co/Jb4Fy7UUyi
Adam D. Wyden on X
That feeling when the country’s top consumer small cap fund files in one of your biggest horses…. https://t.co/kIzir9QGPI On 27 numbers we can get to ~35.00 of NAV/share and that’s before buybacks! $codi
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Stilwell group nominee for $PFBX board inches closer every year. https://t.co/nT7keZuDLT
Investor Letters
All letters- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.6BCALY $3B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 BOIVF $12BAVOL $8.2B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 CACI $13BHONA $50B
- Fairtree Asset Management Q3 2026 SSL $9.7B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 BSVN $553MFTLF $75M
- Moon Capital Management third quarter 2026 TME $15BUNVGY $31B
- 1 Main Capital third quarter 2026 BFIT $2.2BHGV $3.3B
- Sustainable Growth Advisers Quarter 3 2026 COO $12BNKE $60B
CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap
CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.
Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point
Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.
Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here
Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…
Bang For The Buck 1 click
Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map
Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…
[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI
Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…
This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Duos Technologies Pivot To Data Center Pods Is Gaining Traction
Duos Technologies, DUOT, has shifted to modular edge data center pods, with Q2 revenue up 30% to $6.18 million and FY27 revenue guided…
Shareholders Unite 2 clicks
Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…
Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View
Cerebras’ alleged electromigration issues hinge on temperature and voltage limits, not total power draw, while thermal variation and…
CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth
CoStar’s 14% revenue growth, $37 million in net new bookings and 14% stock drop sharpen doubts that sales and marketing cuts can coexist…
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Cerebras ($CBRS): A Neocloud Masquerading as a Chipmaker
Cerebras relies on OpenAI for almost all of its $25 billion backlog while renting AI capacity, raising questions over its semiconductor…
Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive
Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…
The Cigna Group: Client Retention Matters, But Contract Profitability Matters More
Cigna faces PBM margin pressure as employer fee demands and Signature transition costs outweigh specialty-drug growth, limiting profit…
Narek Hovhannisyan 1 click
Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
Vertiv (NYSE: VRT) Stock Rating: Accumulate, $329 Price Target After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Vertiv beat Q3 revenue guidance by $460 million, grew organic sales 55%, and raised full-year revenue guidance by $650 million to a $14.65…
Xenia Hotels: A Buy Ahead Of Q3 Results, Betting On Continued Portfolio Quality
Xenia Hotels & Resorts pairs luxury hotel assets, brand affiliations and planned renovations with investment-grade credit and covered…
Albert Anthony 2 clicks
EQT Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating
EQT moved to Distribute at $56.29 after Q3 revenue fell 9.6%; a 44% trailing free-cash-flow margin signals cycle risk despite lower debt…
Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap
Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.
My Last GFL Update - Hopefully
GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…
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Fierce_beast
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- Tapasya Investment
- The London Company
- Third Avenue Management
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- TimesSquare Capital Management
- Touchstone — Balanced Fund
- Troy Asset Management
- Tweedy, Browne
- Unconventional Value
- Upslope Capital Management
- VH Standard Asset Management
- Value Line Funds
- Victory Capital — Sycamore Mid Cap Value Equity
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- Vltava Fund
- Voss Capital
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- Vulcan Value Partners
- Warden Capital
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- Wealthspire Advisors
- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- Wellington Management — Quarterly Market Review
- WestEnd Capital Management
- Westfield Capital Management
- Westwood — Quality SmallCap Fund
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
- YCG Investments
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
