EQT Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating
EQT moved to Distribute at $56.29 after Q3 revenue fell 9.6%; a 44% trailing free-cash-flow margin signals cycle risk despite lower debt and an EPS beat.
EQT moved to Distribute at $56.29 after Q3 revenue fell 9.6%; a 44% trailing free-cash-flow margin signals cycle risk despite lower debt and an EPS beat.
$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.
$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.
The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s
Tough end of the year in merger arb land $BATL, $RVNC, $X, $ACI, $CPRI
$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s
We went Long $BIRK this past weekend. The call was timed ahead of this print, which we thought would be well ahead. But the call is much bigger than beating the qtr. No reason why this won't compound to a double+ over TAIL duration.
Where are all the $RH haters/trolls this morning? <crickets> This stock could be $600 in short order, and it will likely STILL be a long!
Rich Howe hosted me on his new podcast. We talked about some of the spin-offs I've invested in: $VRTS, $JXN, & $VOYA. https://t.co/6jbvrdaj0a
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