Monday, October 26, 2026

How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller

A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14 accounting as a case study.

HTZ $709M

Jimmy's Journal Oct 26 68 clicks

Oct 24 RNGR $357M

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Calvin Blissett 79 clicks

Oct 23 EROC $444M

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

Monte Independent Investment Research 9 clicks

From X

@majgeoinvesting Sep 11

Maj Soueidan on X

Big day for the $PPIH family. First ever earnings call means we can start having fun. @InfoArbMonitor Q2 Delt-Sheet is ready. There's a lot of info for investors who weren't on the call to unpack... Let's stay ahead of the crowd and those who aren't willing to turn over rocks! https://t.co/zYszuSy2eZ

@P_Remarks Sep 10

Prepared Remarks on X

Robert DeMartini and the entire board of $PRPL qualify for my special rule of “if you turn down multiple acquisition offers and then the company goes down 90% you go to jail for 5 years and all comp is clawed back and dividended back to shareholders”

@natstewart5 Sep 10

Nat Stewart on X

Great @YetAnotherValue interview with Zack Buckley on Priority Technology $PRTH out today. If you had told me that PRTH would only be up 65% (including massive, unwarranted share-price volatility) from my 5/2024 article after: ° Enormous capital structure improvements (expensive pref was strangling profitability) ° Successful deleveraging ° Solid business execution I would have been very surprised. It is a shame CEO Priore chose a take-private offer rather than capital allocation/return strategy (which I advocated for). Would have been easy enough to stabilize the equity and in my view rocket it higher over time - creating a successful, useful public equity and track record.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

Sobering one: of 31 distinct names, only 2 have actually reached my Realistic Valuation target. $EVTL and $RR. Median downside capture on the Sept '25 list: 73% of the decline I forecast. On the 2026 lists: 22-41%. Direction right. Magnitude still pending. This means there is still lots of meat on the bone in many of these names.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10

Deep Sail Capital on X

Across all 110 position-instances: Average short return: +25.7%Median: +23.1%Hit rate: 81% — 89 of 110 names fell Best call, and it wasn't close: $EVTL Vertical Aerospace $5.00 → $0.58 Top performer on all five lists. The Sept '25 entry is +88%. Even the July '26 entry is +66%. The company flagged going-concern risk in a filing this month.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

The rest of the Sept '25 podium — a full year of holding: $EVTL +88% $SMR +77% $LVWR +76% $OKLO +73% $BTQ +73% $SOUN +69% $RGTI +67% 19 of the 20 names on that list fell. Nineteen.

@stockgutter Sep 10

SG on X

@BertrandPirel to what do you attribute the substantial availability (1.85m shares) and low borrow cost (3.25%) for $GPRO at IBKR?

@BlueDuckCap Sep 10

BDC on X

Astute observation here. $STLN could not be better situated for the current environment, imo. https://t.co/sy97F9J9YU

Namib Minerals: Research Flash

Namib Minerals’ How Mine mill reached 55,000 tonnes per month, 36% above prior capacity, while a proposed $30 million Ecobank facility…

NAMM $45M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 25 2 clicks

Bimergen Energy: Research Flash

Bimergen Energy filed for a Texas retail-power license to supply data centers directly and gained eligibility for federal contracts through…

BESS $15M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 25 3 clicks

💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥

Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.

GETY $13MSSTK $162M

PETITION Oct 25 4 clicks

Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

UNCY $98M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Oct 22 4 clicks

Moon River Moly: Research Note

Moon River Moly’s updated Davidson PEA lifts after-tax NPV to $1.24 billion as flotation raises tungsten output 350% and cuts molybdenum…

MRIVF $23M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 21 4 clicks

BMBL 2026-10-21

Bumble is being taken private

Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.

BMBL $788M

Modern Value Investing Oct 21 8 clicks

GLOO, part two

Gloo faces related-party deals, insider-heavy IPO ownership, acquisition losses and $84.5 million of CEO-backed puts as it burns cash and…

GLOO $274M

Guardian Research Oct 21 4 clicks

Carecloud News

CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.

CCLD $74M

Calvin Blissett Oct 20 11 clicks

AGI Inc: The Bargain Is Even More Attractive

AGI Inc trades at 5.6x earnings after a 35% post-IPO decline, despite roughly 30% ROE and resilient INSS payroll-loan growth.

AGBK $790M

Multiplo Invest Oct 20 14 clicks

💥Hain Celestial: Earthly Issues💥

Hain Celestial sold its North American snacks business for $115 million as declining sales and EBITDA left $558 million of secured debt…

HAIN $11M

PETITION Oct 20 6 clicks

DGXX · short

Digi Power X INC

DGXX $241M

Value Investors Club Jul 28

Kingstone Company: Reduction In Reinsurance Will Improve Margins

Kingstone Company is replacing quota-share cessions with catastrophe reinsurance, lifting quarterly EBIT margin to 29% from a 24% sector…

KINS $291M

Given Mahlangu Oct 25 3 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $578M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $348M

Anthony Cataldo Oct 19 5 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $327M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 19 18 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $394M

Substack von Philipp Oct 19 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (12th-18th October) 🖨️

Elutia’s antibiotic-eluting surgical matrices target breast-surgery infections, with Minot Light valuing $100 million in sales at a…

ELUT $37M

Capital Employed Oct 19 71 clicks

First Financial: Acquisitions Drive 2027 Growth

First Financial’s merger with First Illinois Financial is expected to lift net interest income and ROE from 2027 after Q2 net income rose…

THFF $937M

Sorrento Research Oct 18 2 clicks

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Gloo's $3.25 follow-on, going-concern warning and $28.0 million first-half cash burn frame the short case against its acquisition-driven…

GLOO $274M

Guardian Research Oct 16 18 clicks

Twenty Years in the Dark

Tower Properties, $TPRP, went dark after a 2006 squeeze-out cut holders below 300, leaving a Kemper-controlled apartment and office…

TPRP $128M

Orphan REITs Oct 16 6 clicks

Monday, October 26, 2026

Maj Soueidan on X

Prepared Remarks on X

Nat Stewart on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

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