Merger Monday & Election Implications
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
Monday, October 26, 2026
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Brian McGough on X
The work we're doing on $PLNT is next-level -- similar to what we did on $FND, but with a VERY different conclusion. Analyzing each store from a property developers perspective... Black Book on Friday... https://t.co/XKWvJdeWyH
Brian McGough on X
Is anybody looking at $REAL NOLs? I bet $EBAY is. EBAY has failed in luxury authentication. It NEEDS REAL. They could use $2/share in realized NOLs with the stock trading at $3. Maybe they buy this when it's a $10 stock, but at $3 it's a slam dunk.
Brian McGough on X
$REAL CEO gets an A+ for executing on the model. But a D- for communicating on last night's call. The reality is that supply growth -- THE KEY to GMV/Cash Flow -- is ACCELERATING. Stock getting tagged today in a Quad4 tape on a sloppy guide. But this story 100% on track.
Brian McGough on X
Our call has been to be Short Retail, and Long 'boring' retailers -- things like $BBWI, $GIL, $VVV, $DRVN. Revenue inflecting positive on all three, stocks should grind higher through 2H, while the rest of retail melts down. https://t.co/4HTXOpOsaz
Brian McGough on X
Best Idea Short $FND should literally be down 20% on this print alone. Across the board guide-down and cutting unit growth AGAIN. Winners don't cut unit growth when times are tough, they LEAN-IN and accelerate investment. But in FND's case it's about cash preservation. Bulls are having major thesis drift here.
Brian McGough on X
Nice blowup today on Best Idea Short $ONEW. But this name should literally be down 40%+ on these horrible numbers. Stock has been a nice 50% gain short side. But Crime Dog wants more...
Brian McGough on X
And in other news, John Donahoe got paid $29MILLION for all that value he created last year as CEO of $NKE.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster. https://t.co/KJgK8fXbM4
Investor Letters
All letters- Polaris Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 DNBBF $50BSHG $30B
- Langdon Equity Partners Q3 2026 LOECF $740MATS $1.9B
- Halvio Capital Q3 2026 CZBS $126MMCCK $468M
- Bretton Fund 3rd Quarter 2026 MBGL $5.8B
- GreensKeeper Asset Management Q3 2026 ABANF $249MICE $96B
- Miller Value Partners third quarter 2026 CNXC $1.9BFOSL $451M
- EdgePoint Wealth Management 3rd quarter, 2026 ROST $74BTTNDY $31B
- Guinness Global Investors third quarter of 2026 AFL $62BDANOY $47B
Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x
A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…
Quick Value #335 - Truist Financial (TFC)
Truist Financial trades at 10.5x earnings and 1.5x tangible book as new CEO Mike Lyons sells non-core assets and targets 16% to 18% ROTCE.
Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever
Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…
Rafa F. Oliver, CFA 4 clicks
Molina & Kinsale
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…
WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger
Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.
Namib Minerals: Research Flash
Namib Minerals’ How Mine mill reached 55,000 tonnes per month, 36% above prior capacity, while a proposed $30 million Ecobank facility…
Bimergen Energy: Research Flash
Bimergen Energy filed for a Texas retail-power license to supply data centers directly and gained eligibility for federal contracts through…
💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥
Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.
Digital Marketing Leader Klaviyo Deserves A Strong Buy
Klaviyo's customer-data platform and new AI Composer product underpin a bullish growth case, with Salesforce's Braze acquisition cited as a…
Fountainhead 2 clicks
DGXX · short Digi Power X INC
Kingstone Company: Reduction In Reinsurance Will Improve Margins
Kingstone Company is replacing quota-share cessions with catastrophe reinsurance, lifting quarterly EBIT margin to 29% from a 24% sector…
Given Mahlangu 3 clicks
Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
Avalo Therapeutics: Contrarian 'Buy' Ahead Of Abdakibart's Phase 3
Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…
Myriam Alvarez 3 clicks
Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive
Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…
Expert Call | AI Server OEM: 2026 xAI Orders, GB300 Price Hikes & B300 Margin Gains
Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.
I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
Ares Capital: This 10%+ Yield Is An Undervalued Buy
Ares Capital’s 10%+ yield is supported by a $30.5 billion portfolio with over 70% floating-rate debt, though dividend coverage remains…
Jonathan Weber 6 clicks
Margin Call
Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…
AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap
CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
