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Monday, October 26, 2026

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Merger Monday & Election Implications

EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…

EQT $33BRRC $13B
Bison Insights 7 clicks

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PAA Research on X

Many. High level, the $AIRS quarter wasn't as good as hoped, but certainly not something that warranted the kind of response it received. Top of the funnel interest in lipo slowed in June/July. I have my own thesis on the potential impact of the world cup, given the shift in consumer interest in that procedure towards the latina community over the past 15-years. Only time will tell if that's right. Either way, the business is stable and now oriented for growth. Adding new procedures (eye bleph and alloclae) significantly expands $AIRS ability to serve the GLP-1 crowd. My expectation is we'll see the bank deal completed before they report 3Q26 and that could coincide with the announcement of site expansion in early 2027. The growth opportunity here remains monumental. $AIRS has massive inherent operating leverage to improved site level utilization. There was some fast money and retail involved here (clearly!), but this is about the company improving the marketing funnel in absolute lead generation and conversion, driving site level utilization, and expanding on a de novo basis. That's the recipe and obsessing about whether growth should have been 2-4% higher for 2Q26 in that context is irrelevant. This is a business that can be 3-5x the size and still have a runway for growth.

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Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

MOH $11BKNSL $8.8B
Bearstone 8 clicks

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $18B
CV's Substack 10 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $76B
Doomberg 13 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $27B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 13 clicks

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