Sunday, October 25, 2026

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $964MINTR $2.1B

Ian’s Insider Corner 27h ago 11 clicks

47h ago SIG $4.5B

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Cannibal Stocks 14 clicks

Oct 24 BLKB $2.4B

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Calvin Blissett 69 clicks

From X

@BarbarianCap Oct 19

Barbarian Capital on X

Germany’s Merck to Buy U.K. Biotech Silence Therapeutics for $1.3 Billion $SLN https://t.co/FXr0mtRMow

@BarbarianCap Oct 19 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

H.B. Fuller Rejects Ancora’s Latest Acquisition Bid, Plans to Consider Selling Noncore Businesses $FUL https://t.co/L8b85qb666

@StableBread Oct 19 1 click

Fajasy on X

From June 1 to October 16, Boost Run $BRUN fell 77.3%, vs. 37.4-58.7% for CoreWeave $CRWV, Nebius $NBIS, and $IREN. That drop in AI infra stocks is tied to to rising bets on another Fed rate hike. Higher rates hurt GPU clouds in two ways, since they (1) raise the cost of the debt that pays for their GPUs and (2) lower what investors will pay today for profits that arrive years later. But all three peers kept or raised their 2026 targets: → $CRWV: Raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $12.4-13.2B on its Q2 call. → $IREN: Raised its year-end ARR target to more than $4B on July 20. → $NBIS: Reaffirmed its 2026 guidance with its Q2 results. The problem is that lenders are charging more now. CoreWeave’s 9.625% notes due 2032 yielded 14.74% on October 16, up from 13.19% on October 1, meaning CoreWeave would likely pay ~15%/year to borrow the same way today. So the selloff came from how investors now see the cost of funding the demand for GPU clouds, not from the demand itself.

@BarbarianCap Oct 19 5 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

Avis Wipeout Erases Last Vestige of 600% Short Squeeze Rally $CAR https://t.co/5YhPTjmIi0

@ACapitalLP Oct 19 1 click

A Capital on X

@leevalueroach Also potential Democratic control of the House will be bad for $GEO / $CXW

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 19

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Dear MF gps, Looking for feedback on Walker and Dunlop $WD How are they as underwriters? How much if that 21/22 toxic vintage of Sunbelt MF with floating rate debt did they underwrite? Any views on the quality of their book? How is their servicing? Stock looks very interesting here

@eriksen_tim Oct 19 4 clicks

Tim Eriksen on X

Cedar Creek Partners Q3 Letter released. Up 6.5% in Q3, 19.9% YTD, net of fees and expenses. $SODI $EXCE $HRBR $EVRC $PAWH $MMTMF $MMY.V https://t.co/d794sYsHAT

@leevalueroach Oct 19 5 clicks

Lee Roach on X

One dollar for a dozen eggs. $CALM earnings going to suck. https://t.co/sFc8Mf4Odw

ExlService: A Boring Compounder That Could Double

EXLS $6.2B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 24 4 clicks

Research & Analysis: ERock, Inc. (NYSE: EROC)

ERock’s modular microgrids bridge data-center power gaps years before grid interconnects, with Meta and Anthropic projects filling capacity…

EROC $453M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 23 9 clicks

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $7.2B

HFI Research Oct 22 9 clicks

MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview

MYR Group’s Q3 2026 preview cites data-center and power transmission demand, with long-term service agreements supporting margin growth and…

MYRG $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 22 5 clicks

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 11 clicks

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 33 clicks

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 4 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Western Digital, Penguin Solutions, Millrose Properties And More

PENG $3.2BMRP $4B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 22 17 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

GPI $2.7BLAD $6.6B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 22 6 clicks

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

ATAT $4.5B

Substack von Philipp Oct 22 8 clicks

JBFCY · long

Jollibee Foods CORP

Jollibee Foods trades at PHP 144, about 56% below its January 2019 high, framing a long thesis on the Philippine restaurant operator.

JBFCY $2.5B

Value Investors Club Jul 27 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus, GM

Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus and GM anchor a 34-case survey of activism, buybacks, M&A and strategic reviews, led by Starboard’s…

SOLS $9.5BACI $6.6B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 42 clicks

Bumble is being taken private

Bumble agreed to a $6.05-per-share cash sale to Ithaca Holdings, 136% above its October 2 share price.

BMBL $787M

Modern Value Investing Oct 21 8 clicks

Webull: A 30% Annual Return Setup As Perpetual Futures Go Live

BULL $3.3B

PropNotes Oct 21 3 clicks

Why I sold OB pick for 26 SVM

Silvercorp’s falling Ying grades, prolonged GC suspension, El Domo execution risk and Chaarat funding needs weaken its valuation despite…

SVM $2B

The Oak Bloke Oct 21 27 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Three

Vicor’s $66.6 million in AI power-delivery royalties generated about $50 million of operating profit, eclipsing its module business as…

VICR $8.1B

CV's Substack Oct 20 28 clicks

From Fat to Follicles - Is Hair Loss the Next Blockbuster?

Novo Nordisk has only floated hair loss, while Veradermics’ Phase 3 oral minoxidil data lead a field of licensing and takeover candidates.

MANE $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 20 41 clicks

AGI Inc: The Bargain Is Even More Attractive

AGI Inc trades at 5.6x earnings after a 35% post-IPO decline, despite roughly 30% ROE and resilient INSS payroll-loan growth.

AGBK $1.2B

Multiplo Invest Oct 20 14 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXII

CoreWeave and neocloud peers face financing pressure, but sold-out GPU capacity and rising H100 and B200 rental rates support continued AI…

MYRG $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 20 8 clicks

Urban Outfitters: Nuuly Is More Valuable Than Its Margins Suggest

Urban Outfitters' Nuuly subscription service grew sales 28.6% and reached a 10.1% operating margin, with management targeting $700 million…

URBN $7.4B

IWA Research Oct 20 4 clicks

Sunday, October 25, 2026

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Fajasy on X

Barbarian Capital on X

A Capital on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Tim Eriksen on X

Lee Roach on X

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