Thursday, October 22, 2026

OCP 2026: MicroVCSELs are gaining attention, but microLEDs still have a case

Credo’s microVCSEL pivot targets 10–20m data-center links where copper falls short, while microLEDs compete nearer compute on integration, power and thermal performance.

CRDO $28B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 22 5 clicks

Oct 22 NVDA $5.1T

Field Trip: AI Has to Be Seen to Be Believed

Aurelion Research 15 clicks

Oct 22 LRCX $326B

Lam Research Q1 FY6/27 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@ACapitalLP Sep 15

A Capital on X

My issue with the JPM $APTV downgrade is the valuation framework. The report itself acknowledges RemainCo has a higher-margin software/interconnect mix and growing non-auto exposure, then continues to frame valuation primarily through a traditional auto-supplier relative-value lens. The entire point of the spin was to change the business mix. Why shouldn’t the valuation framework change with it?

@negligible_cap Sep 15

Negligible Capital on X

*META TO ROLL OUT NEXT-GENERATION ASTRID CHIPS AT END OF 2027 $META says the Astrid chips will save money and energy compared to $NVDA chips But okay NVDA's gross margins will stay at 80% forever https://t.co/mKQgc7MZ2b

@InvestSpecial Sep 15

Dalius - Special Sits on X

$PRTH spread is basically gone. Stock now trades just above the low end of Priore’s offer, with the market starting to price overbid optionality back in. Full pitch on SSI👇 https://t.co/43nXgjNmo4

@TidefallCapital Sep 15

Trevor Scott on X

@caseyjdonaldson $PDD is growing 12% in 2026 $AMZN 16%

@finphysnerd Sep 15

Myles on X

@MikeFritzell Don't you think that the Fila royalty isn't really that significant a part of the valuation? Even if you wrote it down to 0 the stock still looks pretty cheap on a sotp. I know $GOLF is expensive, but I'm probably going to hedge it.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 15

Deep Sail Capital on X

@orrdavid $GTBIF is likely the best run, $HITI, $VRNO, $TRLV

@kab604 Sep 15 1 click

kab60 on X

$FIS "delivered record first-half core wins across its community and regional banking segment, representing millions of accounts added" $JKHY said the same. $FISV the obvious loser and mngmt turmoil+strategic review (divestments...) probably not helpful to attrition. https://t.co/CZh4hQX9C9

@BrokenMoats Sep 14 1 click

Broken Moats on X

$BSP lockup comes right at the end of the year....might want to file that date away, and go read the S1. Difficult to find a more flawed business model and aggregios valuation then this. It is Upland reincarnated and perhaps Valeant if they start getting dodgy on their receivables as financing starts drying up. BSP business is simply a game of removing almost all costs of broken, zombie software companies (bring r&d to near zero, remove a bulk of the employees, jack the price to any residual customers, report improved metrics, do not report the metrics you do not want to show (stopped reporting NRR, other metrics post IPO). An Italian based rollup of a collection of 2012 point solutions (Vimeo, Brightcove, Eventbrite, AOL (yes that AOL), and a bunch of others that were failed investments on their own right and in decline. Very little in shared synergies. The cadence of deals and size of deals has been dramatically increasing since 2003 (as you would expect). sub 300m in 2023, 800m in 2024, 2B in 2025, and already at 4B for 2026. This law of large numbers will continue to have to scale to continue to be able to show the financial wizardly of improved adjusted profits. Because as the cohorts exhaust the initial boost from price increases and cost cuts the businesses start more aggressively shedding their customer base (increasing the melt of the ice cube), so before these metrics infect their financials they need new deals to over run the melt (not a coincidence deal flow is faster and bigger). And thats the game, the equity price (and future dilution a certainty) (as they are around 6-7B net debt once they close their recent acquisition, this is post the ipo raise too). Once/if the story, law of numbers cannot run anymore to the right with financing, the gig will be up. Plenty of prior versions of this exact model as predecessors just go look at Upland software $UPLD. Won't end well but weird float dynamics with the A shares, IPO, lockup (12/28) and the aggressiveness of software/semi currently that is squeezing lots of more obvious AI disrupted software vendors, so its obvious where their ends up ultimately but might be treacherous on its path there, certainly tough until the float increases to short. Should be fun to watch, and an opportunity once liquidity opens up

Trade Alert - Long RIG

HFI Portfolio bought 94,214 shares of Transocean, RIG, for $570,000 at $6.05 per share.

RIG $7.2B

HFI Research Oct 22 7 clicks

Meta 3Q’26: Healthy Core, But Investors Spooked by Potential Funding Ambitions

Meta’s ad revenue grew 26% to $63.1 billion, but negative free cash flow and $135-145 billion of capex raise concerns over AI funding and a…

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 22 3 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Patient Investors Should Hold Through Volatility

CoreWeave targets 8 GW of active power by 2030, expands into India and builds its AI cloud ecosystem through Google Cloud and partner…

CRWV $34B

Jack Elias Oct 22 6 clicks

MYR Group q3’26 Earnings Preview

MYR Group’s Q3 2026 preview cites data-center and power transmission demand, with long-term service agreements supporting margin growth and…

MYRG $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 22 5 clicks

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 11 clicks

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 33 clicks

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

MOS $5.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 4 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Western Digital, Penguin Solutions, Millrose Properties And More

WDC $132BPENG $3.2B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 22 17 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #12: Oct 22, 2026

PJM's 6,831 MW capacity shortfall is driving nuclear uprates, with Google contracting 890 MW from 11 operating reactors.

CEG $96B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 22 2 clicks

Tesla Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Analysis

Tesla’s Q3 revenue was flat at $28.0 billion, while operating income fell 56% as R&D spending on AI rose 69%; SpaceX merger discussions are…

TSLA $1.5T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 22 6 clicks

[ISRG – Intuitive Surgical] the robot is the easy part

Intuitive Surgical built a razor-razorblade model around da Vinci robots, with procedure growth driving recurring instrument revenue and…

ISRG $153B

scuttleblurb Oct 22 7 clicks

Meta Earnings Update: Q3 2026

Meta’s Q3 revenue rose 26% to $64.6 billion, but $34.9 billion in AI infrastructure spending drove free cash flow negative as it created…

META $1.8T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Oct 22 3 clicks

Meta: 3Q26 Business Update

Meta’s Family of Apps revenue grew 26% as Muse reached 10 million users, testing AI-agent commerce while Amazon restricts access and…

META $1.8T

Speedwell Memos Oct 22 4 clicks

META Q3 FY12/26 - Hold - Earnings Review

Meta reported Q3 revenue of $64.6 billion, up 26%, while $34.9 billion of capex drove negative free cash flow and a $9.89 billion legal…

META $1.8T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 22 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus, GM

Solstice, Albertsons, Brockhaus and GM anchor a 34-case survey of activism, buybacks, M&A and strategic reviews, led by Starboard’s…

SOLS $9.5BACI $6.5B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 22 42 clicks

4 Boring Non-AI Stocks Trading at Attractive Valuations

Rollins, North America’s largest pest-control provider, gets 75–80% of revenue from recurring contracts but has fallen about 45% year to…

ROL $17B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 22 67 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

GPI $2.7BLAD $6.6B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 22 6 clicks

Diageo: Gen Z Is Drinking Again, And They Want Cocktails

DEO $52B

PropNotes Oct 22 7 clicks

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

ATAT $4.5B

Substack von Philipp Oct 22 8 clicks

Sea Limited (SE) Sea Cloud and Monee IPO

Sea Limited plans Sea Cloud and a Monee IPO, using 40-plus data centers and 25,000 GPUs while risking heavier capex and prolonged thin…

SE $47B

Sleep Well Investments Oct 22 6 clicks

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Thursday, October 22, 2026

A Capital on X

Negligible Capital on X

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Trevor Scott on X

Myles on X

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kab60 on X

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