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Convequity on X

Exploring SaaS survival in the agentic era — $PANW vs $DDOG. Both sit on critical telemetry. Both expose MCP. On paper they look alike. They aren’t. Model labs have a real reason to build their own observability collectors. Coding agents write and ship code; to get better they need production feedback. Own the host telemetry, close the loop. That same incentive is much weaker for cybersecurity endpoint agents. Finding beacons and writing better code are different jobs. Building a Falcon- or Cortex-class sensor estate is years of trust, labeled attacks, and compliance — not a natural side quest for a model lab. Then there’s the screen. Datadog doesn’t own where developers live. They already live in Cursor / Claude Code / Copilot. So those agents pull Datadog in over MCP. The data plane stays sticky; the UI gets shared. Palo Alto usually does own where the SOC lives. The shift starts in the security console — cases, playbooks, response. In a PANW shop, Cortex is the main workplace. Claude can sit on top in a multi-vendor stack. That’s the risk but not the base case. Same idea — agents need the pipes. What’s different is who tries to own the collector, and who already owns the desk. Thoughts welcome. Full Part 3 write-up for Convequity subscribers is on its way.

Investor Letters

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Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

MOS $5.5B
Latticework by MOI Global 33 clicks

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

MOS $5.5B
Latticework by MOI Global 4 clicks
EXPE · long

Expedia Group INC

Expedia Group, one of the largest online travel companies, has roughly 3.6 million lodging properties and is expanding internationally.

EXPE $35B
Value Investors Club 1 click

Why I sold OB pick for 26 SVM

Silvercorp’s falling Ying grades, prolonged GC suspension, El Domo execution risk and Chaarat funding needs weaken its valuation despite…

SVM $2B
The Oak Bloke 27 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Three

Vicor’s $66.6 million in AI power-delivery royalties generated about $50 million of operating profit, eclipsing its module business as…

VICR $8.1B
CV's Substack 28 clicks

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