Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 19 14 clicks

Oct 19 NOC $78B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Oct 19 APP $88B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 69 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Oct 9 4 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.

@IdeaBrunchEmail Oct 6 1 click

Idea Brunch on X

Idea Brunch with @Derek_K_Brown of Dardanelles Capital Tickers mentioned include $FLUT and $ELF https://t.co/RqbtxVhwEo

@catechwilliams Sep 23 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.

@catechwilliams Sep 23

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT New $50M display upgrade award for the Miami Heat arena. Will be a nice boost to current quarter earnings (FQ2'25). https://t.co/sLAFBEerYi

@HedgeyeRetail Sep 19

Brian McGough on X

This is what we said on $NKE earlier this year... 4. How Donahoe still has a job is a mystery. All the company has to do is say what we think is reality – that on (or BEFORE) April 2025 when Donahoe is required to step down (when he turns 65), that the company will bring back Mark Parker, Eric Sprunk or Elliott Hill to be CEO or interim CEO while the company reaccelerates the business model. Donahoe is a #fail, and his era of rule needs to come to an end – fast. As CEO of Nike, the man is incompetent. Yes, I (McGough) know that this statement will get me uninvited to the analyst meeting this fall. But I don't care. It needs to be said out loud.

@catechwilliams Aug 28

catechwilliams on X

$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.

@HedgeyeRetail Aug 15

Brian McGough on X

My team has the stones to tell me "the deck we prepared on $PLNT is the best work we've EVER done." I rarely hear that degree of confidence from anyone. You be the judge...presentation TOMORROW, 8/16. Deets below. https://t.co/u5qz3Xcdl4

@HedgeyeRetail Aug 14

Brian McGough on X

The work we're doing on $PLNT is next-level -- similar to what we did on $FND, but with a VERY different conclusion. Analyzing each store from a property developers perspective... Black Book on Friday... https://t.co/XKWvJdeWyH

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $492M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $367M

Anthony Cataldo Oct 19 5 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $20BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 19 36 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $373M

Substack von Philipp Oct 19 10 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons Oct 19 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $62BRIG $7.2B

Open Insights Oct 19 15 clicks

Zscaler CEO and CFO: We have the opportunity of a lifetime

Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhry and CFO Kevin Rubin discuss the cybersecurity company’s growth prospects and valuation.

ZS $38B

The Technology Letter Oct 18 7 clicks

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook Oct 18 23 clicks

Cerebras Systems: Beaten To A Pulp On Irrational Fears (Rating Upgrade)

Cerebras, a wafer-scale AI chipmaker, is forecast to nearly 10x sales by 2028 as capacity expands, while its shares have fallen on capacity…

CBRS $27B

Stone Fox Capital Oct 18 11 clicks

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper…

SMTC $12B

CV's Substack Oct 17 14 clicks

FINV · long

Finvolution Group

FinVolution, a China and ASEAN unsecured consumer lender, trades at 4x earnings and 0.5x book value.

FINV $704M

Value Investors Club Jul 20 5 clicks

DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $12B

The Technology Letter Oct 17 27 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $46BLITE $69B

P Equity Research Oct 17 14 clicks

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9.3B

Eagle Point Capital Oct 17 60 clicks

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $4.1B

Tim Travis Oct 17 12 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $68B

LA Capital Oct 16 10 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 12 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 44 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.4B

Glen Bradford Oct 16 5 clicks

Monday, October 19, 2026

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Idea Brunch on X

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