Sunday, October 18, 2026

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $3.8B

SA Tim Travis Oct 17 10 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $68B

SA LA Capital Oct 16 9 clicks

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

SA Atlas Diary Oct 16 3 clicks

OTIS · long

Otis Worldwide CORP

Otis Worldwide's largest global elevator installed base generates 95% recurring revenue, with service margins above 90% supporting a…

Future-proofing A Portfolio (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)

Eagle Point favors McKesson, AutoZone and other physical-network businesses with durable demand, scale moats and lower disruption risk than…

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

The $55,000 Shell Company That Became a $480M Healthcare REIT

Chiron Real Estate (XRN), a $480 million healthcare REIT, trades at 7.3 times AFFO amid a ticker change, reverse split, dividend cut and…

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

Cracks in the Coconuts: Why Vita Coco’s ($COCO) Growth Narrative is Spoiling

Vita Coco’s growth narrative is deteriorating, supporting a short thesis on COCO.

Portfolio Update March 2026

Portfolio adds Nomad Foods and Judges Scientific, increases Constellation Software, trims Roper, and exits UnitedHealth after a 4.57% March…

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

Why Lindblad's Record Year Should Terrify Its Shareholders

Lindblad's record year is the basis for a short thesis against LIND.

AI turned my Report into a Video

Google’s NotebookLM turned a 30-page Douglas Dynamics report into an 8-minute video, while Custom GPTs screen earnings transcripts for…