Sunday, October 18, 2026

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $3.8B

SA Tim Travis Oct 17 10 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $68B

SA LA Capital Oct 16 9 clicks

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

Liberty Global: Things Got Much Worse, But I Am Still Greedy

Liberty Global faces VMO2 restructuring-priced bonds and Ziggo unsecured yields near 16% after owners extracted £5.15 billion since 2021.

LBTYA $2.7B

SA Andrew Mach Oct 16 4 clicks

ASTS · short

Ast Spacemobile INC

AST SpaceMobile is priced for a 2026 commercial launch despite no identified path to manufacture or launch its satellite deployment target.

Adobe Stock Breakdown (Five Minute Money)

Adobe trades at 14x free cash flow after a 60% decline despite growth, with AI, its business-model transition and creative-software…

After Trade Review, and Earnings Mention Market Thoughts

SNAP Family Center was omitted from Snap’s earnings call, validating a 50-cent Kalshi NO contract and informing a machine-learning model…

Ferrari Exploratory Report

Ferrari sells about 13,000 vehicles annually, generating €7 billion of revenue and 28% operating margins; its shares trade at 32 times…

Carvana, DriveTime, Hindenburg and Gotham City

Carvana’s DriveTime disclosures do not prove loan-loss shifting, but related-party dealings and gains on loan sales remain central concerns.

FDA vs. HIMS: Why the Oral “Wegovy Copy” Crackdown Changes the GLP-1 Game

FDA’s crackdown on HIMS’s $49 compounded oral Wegovy copy reshapes GLP-1 competition after Novo Nordisk forecast 2026 sales and profit…

Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update

Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.

Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once

Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…

2026: Radio silence, software setbacks and more from me in 2026

RELX and Sage have fallen 46% and 35% as markets label them AI losers, creating potential value opportunities alongside risks of genuine…

My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure

A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…