Saturday, October 17, 2026

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper interconnect businesses.

SMTC $13B

CV's Substack Oct 17 14 clicks

Oct 17 COHR $46B

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

P Equity Research 14 clicks

Oct 17 SIRI $9B

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

Eagle Point Capital 60 clicks

From X

@TheBenSchmark Aug 11 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

For FY 2027, the Company expects net sales in the range of $65.0 billion to $72.0 billion. Net sales in the range of $14.5 billion & $15.5 billion for the first quarter of FY 2027 ending September, 2026, and non-GAAP net income per diluted share of $1.01 to $1.10 $SMCI 👀 https://t.co/BMrEvmCbQj

@ChrisCamillo Aug 11

Chris Camillo on X

@Ghostlike @TheOneLanceB You’re missing critical context on my $AMZN trade. If you care to dig in, start with my high-level breakdown on this week’s @TheICHpodcast.

@AsifSuria Aug 11

Asif Suria on X

I am more interested in $FICO at its current price than when we wrote about the company last month in a Stock Buyback Wednesdays article. The company was trading at a little over $1,300 and we concluded the article as follows: https://t.co/pPAkm6nlxQ https://t.co/lE1RhBad7w

@irbezek Aug 11 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@shortbus_ace @akeemcap @QuietProsperity $CAAP is 6x EV/EBITDA and no Mexico. But half of EBITDA is from Argentina, so that's its own can of worms (albeit the Argy fees are charged at a fixed USD rate not Peso)

@leevalueroach Aug 11

Lee Roach on X

Entravision $EVC has $870 million market cap here. $944 million enterprise value. Ad-Tech based on guide will do around $160mm EBITDA. Media worth $300mm based on comps. Call option on $500mm of spectrum. Say spectrum is worth zero. Back out of media and you are buying this for 4.0x and no value to spectrum. Market saying big customer goes away completely here. I think that’s wrong.

@irbezek Aug 11 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@shortbus_ace @akeemcap @QuietProsperity Sheinbaum doesn't leave office until 2030 so that's a reasonable bet, though maybe you get clipped in 2029 once the pre-election hope cycle starts up. Underlying EBITDA will grow 12-15%/year like usual (faster at $ASR with the M&A) so stocks can still work in the interim.

@marginofdanger Aug 11 1 click

marginofdanger on X

$BWEL has been the most aggressive in years on its share buybacks since the last reported financials (6/30/25). While not as significant as I would like, the increased pace of buyback is probably a good sign for FY26 results. https://t.co/tQmmswZS0P

@valuedontlie Aug 11

Colin King on X

Mean reversion idea: $DIS super simple idea here… High quality business (parks, cruises, broadcast network, movies, ESPN, Disney+) Trading at a 25% discount to median earnings multiple while earnings recovery progressing nicely

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $4.1B

Tim Travis Oct 17 11 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $355B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

META $1.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

META $1.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 17 clicks

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783MNFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 12 clicks

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary Oct 16 3 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 44 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.4B

Glen Bradford Oct 16 5 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 54 clicks

SMWB · long

Similarweb LTD

Similarweb (SMWB) is presented as a long, revisiting the company’s digital-intelligence business after two prior VIC write-ups.

SMWB $786M

Value Investors Club Jul 19 11 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $7.2B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $7.9B

CV's Substack Oct 15 20 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $616B

SemiAnalysis Oct 15 13 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $92B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $839M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 15 clicks

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…

ASML $616B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 15 13 clicks

Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier

Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…

PKE $558M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 15 14 clicks

uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam

UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…

QURE $1.5B

Bhavneesh Sharma Oct 15 16 clicks

Saturday, October 17, 2026

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Chris Camillo on X

Asif Suria on X

Ian Bezek on X

Lee Roach on X

Ian Bezek on X

marginofdanger on X

Colin King on X

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