Saturday, October 17, 2026

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper interconnect businesses.

SMTC $13B

CV's Substack Oct 17 14 clicks

Oct 17 COHR $46B

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

P Equity Research 14 clicks

Oct 17 SIRI $9B

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

Eagle Point Capital 60 clicks

From X

@gatorcapital Mar 6

Derek Pilecki on X

BTW, his stock trades for 10x, posts an ROE of 17% while running with excess capital, and is part of a banking oligopoly in Puerto Rico. $OFG

@gatorcapital Mar 6

Derek Pilecki on X

At the RBC FIG Conference this week, a bank CEO referred to himself as "below average". His stock has compounded above 20% since 2017. I know he was being self-deprecating and trying to make the point that his employees were "above average", but it was still shocking to hear. A lot of CEOs with much worse stock performance think very highly of themselves. $OFG

@catechwilliams Mar 6

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT CEO departing, new high-quality CFO (temp) w very attractive secular tailwinds in digital display demand + activist involvement = increased likelihood of takeout. Optimal business for PE. Multiple logical strategics. +75% upside.

@HaydenCapital Mar 6

Fred Liu on X

Just learned many of Mixue's top lieutenants came from Oppo. $2097.HK 🤯 Another "BBK Mafia" company debuts at $10BN+ (alongside $PDD, J&T, Vivo & Oppo, etc). (Those curious can find background on Duan Yongping & BBK in our $PDD memo: https://t.co/pTZ8WlA2FM) https://t.co/AHEjhqu7nG

@rusholmecapital Mar 1

Rusholme Capital on X

I'm not finding much of interest in this market. Few notes to myself so that I can look back and see how wrong I was: - Software & semi are expensive, but always are. I'm watching $CDW which posted its first revenue growth in a long time - Not finding much of interest in healthcare. Medtech is ex-growth and expensive. Lot of names under pressure from Trump cost cutting - Valuations for financials have gotten stretched. I'm trimming some big winners here - High-ticket consumer goods are struggling, but travel remains strong. Seeing green shoots in Canadian housing. I'm careful with the Canadian cannabis renaissance - Canadian OFS is topping out and transport is getting killed. Several cheap packaging names, but no growth

@HaydenCapital Feb 28 1 click

Fred Liu on X

$APP just up'd its Share Repurchase authorization. Rare to see a positive 8K drop, on a Friday afternoon... was worried for a second😅 https://t.co/XKfTEFkf4d https://t.co/516mtR8Xnd

@catechwilliams Feb 28 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $4.1B

Tim Travis Oct 17 12 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $355B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $68B

LA Capital Oct 16 10 clicks

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Gloo's $3.25 follow-on, going-concern warning and $28.0 million first-half cash burn frame the short case against its acquisition-driven…

GLOO $291M

Guardian Research Oct 16 18 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 12 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 44 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.4B

Glen Bradford Oct 16 5 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 54 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $7.2B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $7.9B

CV's Substack Oct 15 20 clicks

SMWB · long

Similarweb LTD

Similarweb (SMWB) is presented as a long, revisiting the company’s digital-intelligence business after two prior VIC write-ups.

SMWB $786M

Value Investors Club Jul 19 11 clicks

Devon Energy: Eagle Ford Sale Is A Significant Step To Closing The Valuation Discount (Upgrade To Strong Buy)

Devon Energy’s $4.2 billion Eagle Ford sale concentrates its portfolio in the Permian, lifting capital efficiency and margins despite lower…

DVN $55B

Elliott Gue Oct 16

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $92B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $839M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 15 clicks

Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier

Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…

PKE $558M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 15 14 clicks

uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam

UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…

QURE $1.5B

Bhavneesh Sharma Oct 15 16 clicks

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…

MRVL $200B

scuttleblurb Oct 15 12 clicks

AeroVironment: The Value Is There, Growth Will Force The Market To Notice

AeroVironment's $465M LOCUST laser award and earnings beat support its 2027 growth outlook despite government budget uncertainty.

AVAV $5.9B

Melissa Tucker Oct 15 8 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 28 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.5BVAL $6.2B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 15 45 clicks

Saturday, October 17, 2026

Derek Pilecki on X

Derek Pilecki on X

catechwilliams on X

Fred Liu on X

Rusholme Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

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