Semtech Analyst Day Review
Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper interconnect businesses.
Saturday, October 17, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Myles on X
Long $BORR https://t.co/W0xvygRBPr
A Capital on X
$WYFI meaningfully lagging the other Powered Shell Providers…. https://t.co/JWZPbrU54S
Myles on X
Long some $RSP calls. Breadth is completely washed out and implied vol seems cheap. Seasonality is favourable, feels like an attractive place to be long, and cheap on the options side. https://t.co/00h6Oyvnmk
Negligible Capital on X
$META has gained about $212B in market cap today, currently up over 12% For perspective, META's market cap has increased by about 22x the market value of $SNAP. Wild moves
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Weird $HPQ 8-K dropped on assuming MSD PC unit declines in 2027 https://t.co/3FmtjYyqnv
John_Hempton on X
@Wayne_Chien1 @AMCOracle It is one of 500 plus shorts. I am having a good day today. $AMC is however a loser for me
A Capital on X
@RitzerAdam @valuedontlie $KBR stupid cheap
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Feels like $NKE has lost its sole https://t.co/RUaFiVjpG1
Investor Letters
All letters- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 GRAL $6BJPPTY $68B
- White Brook Capital Third Quarter 2026 FUBO $914MQ $25B
- Davenport Asset Management Q3 2026 ACM $7.6BACN $138B
- Distillate Capital 2026 Q3 ORCL $399BTOL $12B
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended September 30, 2026 BIO $9.5BCRL $15B
- Rewey Asset Management 3Q26 MEC $362MORCL $399B
- Hosking Partners Q3 2026 DHT $3.7BHAFN $5.4B
- Guinness Global Investors third quarter of 2026 ABBNY $163BAFL $59B
Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)
Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.
Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount
Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…
Atlas Diary 3 clicks
Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box
Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…
Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…
Glen Bradford 5 clicks
Is The Market Turning The Page?
CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.
PesoRama: Research Flash
PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…
Modine Deep Dive
Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…
CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default
CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…
Dustin Quasney 25 clicks
AppLovin Deep Dive
AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…
SMWB · long Similarweb LTD
Similarweb (SMWB) is presented as a long, revisiting the company’s digital-intelligence business after two prior VIC write-ups.
RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky
RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.
LA Capital 9 clicks
Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)
Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…
Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier
Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…
uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam
UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…
Bhavneesh Sharma 16 clicks
[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips
Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…
AeroVironment: The Value Is There, Growth Will Force The Market To Notice
AeroVironment's $465M LOCUST laser award and earnings beat support its 2027 growth outlook despite government budget uncertainty.
Melissa Tucker 8 clicks
Constellation: Stars Aligning?
Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…
Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!
Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.
October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…
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JabroniCoin.USD
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Sectors
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