Saturday, October 17, 2026

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper interconnect businesses.

SMTC $13B

CV's Substack Oct 17 13 clicks

Oct 17 COHR $52B

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

P Equity Research 14 clicks

Oct 17 SIRI $9B

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

Eagle Point Capital 59 clicks

From X

@finphysnerd Aug 26

Myles on X

A lot of software stocks looking like juicy shorts again after this bounce. $XRO.ax makes no sense to my mind at the current valuation. $ASAN up 40% in 3 months despite being unprofitable and a likely AI victim. $BL is super expensive still for low growth. To name a few.

@partners_road Aug 25

RiverRoadPartners on X

This guide tonight from $SMTC is remarkable.

@BlueDuckCap Aug 25 2 clicks

BDC on X

From $SNAP Q2 shareholder letter: In scheme of things, the stock barely budged. How much would $META or $AMZN be up if Zuck/Jassy had said the same exact thing? Hint: they would be up many multiples of $SNAP's entire market cap. https://t.co/8QeDQq1LFy

@DeepSailCapital Aug 25

Deep Sail Capital on X

$RUM is by far the most "chasing the cool thing right now" company of any out there, and they just use massive share dilution to get it done. First they tried to get into Crypto with the Tether deal a few years ago (100m share dilution). And now they are trying to get into datacenters, with Northern Data Acquisition (120m share dilution). Today they announced they are offering a counterparty 50m shares via warrants with a strike price of $0.01 just for the commercial deal to buy their GPU services. How can anyone trust this management?

@TheBenSchmark Aug 25

JabroniCoin.USD on X

UBS on $CENX generating nearly $1 bn in 2026 FCF (v ~$800m consensus) Post this week, that Midwest premium looks solid for 2026… so that volume ramp should translate into higher numbers in Q3 and Q4 https://t.co/dhrEiBFWFf

@StockJabber Aug 25

Edwin Dorsey on X

Daniel E. Bachus, the CFO of Grand Canyon Education $LOPE, is on paid administrative leave following a unanimous board vote "in connection with an ongoing governmental investigation involving a non-employee third party’s trades in company stock." Mr. Bachus was also a key government witness against Andrew Left in his securities fraud trial. Link: https://t.co/iYND5NGFNq

@convequity Aug 25 1 click

Convequity on X

Cerebras is a taxi. NVIDIA runs the buses. Almost every confusion about $CBRS begins with reviewing the wrong vehicle. We just published Part 1 of our Cerebras deep dive: → Why wafer-scale SRAM excels at low-batch decode → Why $NVDA becomes the cheaper token factory at high concurrency → Why Cerebras was built for training—but found its future in inference → Why the two architectures are increasingly complementary, not substitutes Our conclusion: Cerebras is mostly a buy over the next 2–3 years—but demand for premium-speed inference will decide the case. The full high-level report is live. 👇 https://t.co/awUwxPUSHI

@HedgeyeRetail Aug 25

Brian McGough on X

This short has been money for us this summer. Down -17% into the print on heavy volume (ie someone got the memo early) and down another 25% today. $DKS #DickLocker https://t.co/Qr1gSnhnuc

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $3.8B

Tim Travis Oct 17 10 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 54 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $7.9B

CV's Substack Oct 15 20 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $92B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Brookfield Asset Management: What If The AI Boom Backfires?

Brookfield Asset Management's fee revenue rose 16.2% and distributable earnings 15.8%, but its 18% five-year target relies on AI-led growth…

BAM $73B

Daniel Schönberger Oct 15 3 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 28 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.5BVAL $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 15 45 clicks

SPHR · long

Sphere Entertainment CO

Sphere Entertainment is shifting from construction and startup spending to a high-margin, cash-generative venue-operator model, with…

SPHR $3.7B

Value Investors Club Jul 17 3 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SOLS $9.6BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Everyone wants to defend CoreWeave but who really knows

CoreWeave faces fresh skepticism as another AI trade selloff collides with bullish defenses of the company.

CRWV $34B

The Technology Letter Oct 14 6 clicks

A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.

TKO $34B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 14 8 clicks

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $52B

P Equity Research Oct 14 19 clicks

Peabody Energy: The Recovery Case Depends On Centurion

Peabody Energy’s recovery case hinges on Centurion, coal-market leverage, capital allocation and balance-sheet strength amid commodity…

BTU $2.9B

CAN Analyst Oct 14 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $21B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Saturday, October 17, 2026

Myles on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

BDC on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Edwin Dorsey on X

Convequity on X

Brian McGough on X

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