Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.
Friday, October 16, 2026
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From X
Myles on X
$META is going to be a killer short soon. Not because I think it's overvalued, I don't. But because the new ownership base is a bunch of paper handed hype followers that will drop it at the first crack.
Lee Roach on X
You guys are sleeping on $GME https://t.co/i9EzDPRTz1
Barbarian Capital on X
GoDaddy receives takeover offer from maker of Norton antivirus software $GDDY https://t.co/mVxICV9LMa
Barbarian Capital on X
Darden Restaurants Posts Sales Gains but Profit Slips on Higher Expenses $DRI https://t.co/gf0C60Y1T6
Barbarian Capital on X
BlackRock Investment Portfolios Debut on the Blockchain as Digital Tokens $BLk https://t.co/5XHSFbk9HR
Barbarian Capital on X
Costco Reports Higher Fourth-Quarter Profit as Sales, Membership Fees Rise https://t.co/tRQ28bqJ2p $COST
Barbarian Capital on X
Anthropic to Pay Akamai Technologies $11.6 Billion Over Seven Years for Cloud Services $AKAM https://t.co/6XA7oSbTvM
Barbarian Capital on X
"an unusual turn of events that comes just after People withdrew its own bid to buy the casino and resort company" MGM Resorts Eyeing Bid for Barry Diller’s People Incorporated $MGM https://t.co/FjkNJ0r1PJ
Investor Letters
All letters- Distillate Capital 2026 Q3 AMZN $2.7TGOOGL $4.3T
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended September 30, 2026 BIO $9.7BCRL $15B
- Rewey Asset Management 3Q26 MEC $362MAMZN $2.7T
- Chilton Capital Management 3rd Quarter 2026 SKHY $701BSSNLF $1410T
- Hosking Partners Q3 2026 DHT $3.7BHAFN $5.4B
- Guinness Global Investors third quarter of 2026 ABBNY $163BAFL $59B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q26 ADBE $98BADYEN $34B
- Wedgewood Partners Third Quarter 2026 MSI $76BAAPL $5T
2026.42: Home At Last
Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)
Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.
Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount
Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…
Atlas Diary 3 clicks
Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box
Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…
Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…
Glen Bradford 5 clicks
Is The Market Turning The Page?
CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.
PesoRama: Research Flash
PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…
Modine Deep Dive
Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…
ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!
ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.
CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default
CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…
Dustin Quasney 25 clicks
TY · long Tri-continental CORP
Tri-Continental Corp is presented as a long investment-grade fixed-income idea for portfolios with limited liquidity and diversification.
Kraft Heinz: The Boring 2027 Long That Doesn't Need A Rich Multiple
Kraft Heinz expects brand investment and productivity gains to restore sales growth and protect 2027 margins against 4-5% cost inflation.
The Alpha Analyst 1 click
AppLovin Deep Dive
AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…
Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)
Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…
ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early
ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…
Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier
Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…
uniQure: The Market Graded The Wrong Exam
UniQure's Huntington's gene therapy faces an FDA accelerated-approval decision around November 1 after three-year data met both agency…
Bhavneesh Sharma 16 clicks
[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips
Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…
AeroVironment: The Value Is There, Growth Will Force The Market To Notice
AeroVironment's $465M LOCUST laser award and earnings beat support its 2027 growth outlook despite government budget uncertainty.
Melissa Tucker 8 clicks
Constellation: Stars Aligning?
Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…
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