Friday, October 16, 2026

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $352B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

Oct 16 META $1.8T

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 6 clicks

Oct 16 META $1.8T

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 17 clicks

From X

@gnoble79 Oct 16 3 clicks

George Noble on X

@richardsmith $IREN could be a zero.

@BarbarianCap Oct 16 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

$PM crazy intraday moves (incl new intraday ATH both days) July 28 Oct 15 $COST $KO $BUD $MO $MDLZ similar on these two days; earnings day-like moves https://t.co/jVyJ8a4Tkp

@BarbarianCap Oct 16 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7

@finphysnerd Oct 16 1 click

Myles on X

Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.

@SowingAlphaSeed Oct 16 2 clicks

Farmer on X

@Biohazard3737 @taobanker was talking about using $WMT calls as a hedge the other day. https://t.co/0pnUteAQ4u

@finphysnerd Oct 16 3 clicks

Myles on X

@ArgonathCapital Actually just looked at $XLP, think it could be good. Need to do more work.

@KEDM_COM Oct 16 4 clicks

KEDM.com on X

A company that is not having a good time is the recent spin-off, Honeywell Aerospace $HONA, which is still not recovering from the poor set of results. A reminder that these guys are targeting 6-8% organic growth through 2030, with EBIT and FCF growing faster than revenue. The business combines leading OEM positions with a large aftermarket franchise, including the #1 position in APUs (~65% share) and the #2 position in avionics. Cheaper than its peers, but for a reason? That's why it's interesting to see the first insider buying shares on the open market.

@hkuppy Oct 16 2 clicks

Kuppy on X

Back in 2002, I remember that you could go on eBay and buy new $CSCO equipment, still in the box, for 10c on the dollar from internet startups that were getting liquidated. I figure that GPUs trade at similar levels in 2 years… https://t.co/aqj1LlBRV0

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783MNFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 12 clicks

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary Oct 16 3 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1.1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 43 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.2B

Glen Bradford Oct 16 5 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 54 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $7.9B

CV's Substack Oct 15 19 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $631B

SemiAnalysis Oct 15 13 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

CDLR · long

Cadeler A/S

Cadeler (CDLR) is the world’s largest pure-play owner-operator of wind turbine installation vessels, listed in Oslo and on the NYSE.

CDLR $2.1B

Value Investors Club Apr 27 4 clicks

[PQ] PLTK: Playing Bad (Governance) Odds

Playtika's governance is so poor it may create a contrarian opportunity.

PLTK $790M

Nongaap Investing Jan 21

UGI Corporation (Symbol: UGI). One Hour Analysis: Weak Performance at AmeriGas Division Obscures Strong Performance of Natural Gas Utility and Midstream Assets.

UGI's AmeriGas EBITDA fell from $584 million in 2019 to $320 million in 2024, masking growth at its gas utility and midstream divisions.

UGI $8.3B

Investing 501 Jan 17

20 OTC Markets Oddities

OTC Markets has lost many profitable small companies to buyouts, privatizations and SEC Rule 15c2-11.

MUEL $386M

Exploring with Alluvial Capital Jan 17

A Quarter Century of Investing

A value-oriented investor reports a 25-year record, arguing that only a full market cycle separates investing skill from luck.

BRK.A $1.1T

The Rational Walk Jan 6

Tullow Oil: Fire Sale

Tullow Oil faces falling Ghana production, heavy debt and tax-arbitration risk as Kosmos weighs a possible acquisition structure.

KOS $1.7B

Brevarthan Research Dec 12

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China

ICBC’s chairman describes embedding Chinese Communist Party leadership, anti-corruption campaigns and Xi Jinping Thought into governance at…

IDCBF $425B

John Hempton's Newsletter Nov 16

An Announcement, A Visit, A Stock Pitch

Cementos Argos trades below the value of its 54.7 million Summit Materials shares, with asset sales and strategic holdings providing…

CMTOY $4.5B

Exploring with Alluvial Capital Nov 11

The Strategic Value of eDreams

EDreams’ Prime travel subscription model makes the €3.6 billion European OTA a potential Uber, Airbnb or Amazon acquisition target.

EDDRF $545M

310 Value’s Newsletter Oct 28 2 clicks

One More for the Offshore Basket: An Orphaned Microcap Driller

Offshore drillers have fallen 25-30% despite floater dayrates above $500,000 and utilization in the high-80% to low-90% range.

TDW $4BVAL $5.8B

Raging Bull Investments Oct 24 1 click

Friday, October 16, 2026

George Noble on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Myles on X

Farmer on X

Myles on X

KEDM.com on X

Kuppy on X

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