Friday, October 16, 2026

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $377B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

Oct 16 META $1.9T

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 6 clicks

Oct 16 META $1.9T

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 16 clicks

From X

@gnoble79 Oct 16 3 clicks

George Noble on X

@richardsmith $IREN could be a zero.

@BarbarianCap Oct 16 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

$PM crazy intraday moves (incl new intraday ATH both days) July 28 Oct 15 $COST $KO $BUD $MO $MDLZ similar on these two days; earnings day-like moves https://t.co/jVyJ8a4Tkp

@BarbarianCap Oct 16 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7

@finphysnerd Oct 16 1 click

Myles on X

Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.

@SowingAlphaSeed Oct 16 2 clicks

Farmer on X

@Biohazard3737 @taobanker was talking about using $WMT calls as a hedge the other day. https://t.co/0pnUteAQ4u

@finphysnerd Oct 16 3 clicks

Myles on X

@ArgonathCapital Actually just looked at $XLP, think it could be good. Need to do more work.

@KEDM_COM Oct 16 4 clicks

KEDM.com on X

A company that is not having a good time is the recent spin-off, Honeywell Aerospace $HONA, which is still not recovering from the poor set of results. A reminder that these guys are targeting 6-8% organic growth through 2030, with EBIT and FCF growing faster than revenue. The business combines leading OEM positions with a large aftermarket franchise, including the #1 position in APUs (~65% share) and the #2 position in avionics. Cheaper than its peers, but for a reason? That's why it's interesting to see the first insider buying shares on the open market.

@hkuppy Oct 16 2 clicks

Kuppy on X

Back in 2002, I remember that you could go on eBay and buy new $CSCO equipment, still in the box, for 10c on the dollar from internet startups that were getting liquidated. I figure that GPUs trade at similar levels in 2 years… https://t.co/aqj1LlBRV0

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

NFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 11 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 52 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack Oct 15 19 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $631B

SemiAnalysis Oct 15 12 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 24 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…

ASML $631B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 15 13 clicks

Berkshire B: Holding, Developing Headwinds Have Yet To Reflect In Stock Price, In My View

Berkshire Hathaway trades at 1.46 times book as reinsurance pricing pressure, softer P&C, concentrated equities and cash weigh on its…

BRK.A $1.1T

Pearl Gray Equity and Research Oct 15 3 clicks

RBLX · long

Roblox CORP

Roblox's valuation has fallen from 30x to 50x forward EBITDA, framing the selloff as a long opportunity despite near-term headwinds.

RBLX $35B

Value Investors Club May 25

META 2Q26 Earnings Update

Meta's Q2 advertising revenue rose 27% to $59.4 billion, while costs climbed 55%, cutting operating margin to 31%.

META $1.9T

Stock Thoughts Aug 2

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…

FND $4.9B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 2 4 clicks

Interview with Roderick van Zuylen

Roderick van Zuylen discusses Night Watch’s value strategy, catalyst-driven screening and positions in Asian equities including Dream…

FUTU $15B

Asian Century Stocks Aug 2

British American Tobacco: Narrowed

British American Tobacco targets 2 to 2.5x leverage by year-end as U.S. Vuse sales grow double digits and modern oral volumes rise 57.5% in…

BTI $130B

Invariant Aug 2

FTAI update.

FTAI Aerospace margins fell to 28.5% as it pursues airline market share, while Power signed a $1.465 billion hyperscaler order and targets…

FTAI $17B

Kairos Research Aug 1 1 click

Altria: The Clock Ticks More Loudly

Altria’s Q2 2026 results sent shares down 9.3%, as segment performance and competitor news outweighed its low-teens P/E and roughly 6%…

MO $125BPM $311B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Aug 1

Will ASML Finally Charge for Its Value?

ASML may adopt more flexible value-based pricing, challenging consensus forecasts that assume customers will pay less per wafer of capacity…

ASML $631B

Chipstrat Jul 31

SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI): Building the Bank of the Future — and the Market Just Handed Us the Entry

SoFi is GAAP-profitable for 11 straight quarters, with $14.8 billion in quarterly loan originations and over $45 billion in deposits…

SOFI $18B

Substack von Philipp Jul 31 1 click

Meta: 2Q26 Business Update

Meta's 2Q26 revenue rose 27%, but capex, depreciation and nascent cloud and AI ambitions raise margin and return risks as it maximizes…

META $1.9T

Speedwell Memos Jul 31 2 clicks

Friday, October 16, 2026

George Noble on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Myles on X

Farmer on X

Myles on X

KEDM.com on X

Kuppy on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 108

YouTube 4

Blogs 17

Seeking Alpha 52 of 240

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors