Friday, October 16, 2026

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman 38h ago 12 clicks

42h ago GLOO $298M

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Guardian Research 11 clicks

43h ago BMBL $783M

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 9 clicks

From X

@gnoble79 33h ago 2 clicks

George Noble on X

@richardsmith $IREN could be a zero.

@BarbarianCap 34h ago 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

$PM crazy intraday moves (incl new intraday ATH both days) July 28 Oct 15 $COST $KO $BUD $MO $MDLZ similar on these two days; earnings day-like moves https://t.co/jVyJ8a4Tkp

@BarbarianCap 34h ago 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7

@finphysnerd 35h ago 1 click

Myles on X

Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.

@finphysnerd 36h ago 2 clicks

Myles on X

Had a 2.7% up day today, which is my best day since starting to manage money last year. Back to all time highs courtesy of $SITC, plus everything else lining up nicely today. Feels good after an absolute grind of a month.

@KEDM_COM 36h ago 4 clicks

KEDM.com on X

A company that is not having a good time is the recent spin-off, Honeywell Aerospace $HONA, which is still not recovering from the poor set of results. A reminder that these guys are targeting 6-8% organic growth through 2030, with EBIT and FCF growing faster than revenue. The business combines leading OEM positions with a large aftermarket franchise, including the #1 position in APUs (~65% share) and the #2 position in avionics. Cheaper than its peers, but for a reason? That's why it's interesting to see the first insider buying shares on the open market.

@ACapitalLP 38h ago 1 click

A Capital on X

@edge_of_power Sounds like cope. Smart money says $CIFR is a 🍩

@leevalueroach 38h ago 11 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Target has been completely liquidated of every single Pokemon card and they put up this sign. I’m standing and watching this area and there have been dozens of grown me. Come into your look for Pokemon cards. Market sleeping on GameStop $GME with their entire thumb up their ass. https://t.co/9iA5sovJ8Q

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary 44h ago 2 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1.1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 34 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.2B

Glen Bradford Oct 16 4 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 51 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 6 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack Oct 15 16 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 22 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 25 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $764M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 13 clicks

Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier

Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 15 12 clicks

SHLS · long

Shoals Technologies Group Inc

Shoals Technologies’ utility-scale solar cabling business is reaccelerating as gross margins bottom.

SHLS $1.3B

Value Investors Club Jul 5 3 clicks

Figure Technology (FIGR): The "Hypoport of America" Growing 100% With 55% EBITDA Margins – and Priced Like the Story Is Broken

Figure Technology's HELOC platform grew Q2 2026 revenue 113% with a 54.6% adjusted EBITDA margin, while shares trade 57% below January's…

FIGR $5.7B

Substack von Philipp Sep 17 8 clicks

Vistra: Q2 2026 Confirmed The AI Power Scarcity Problem

Vistra’s Q2 2026 results reinforce its PJM and ERCOT generation advantage as AI data-center demand tightens power supply, supported by…

VST $51B

The Curious Analyst Sep 17 1 click

Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?

Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite…

CPRT $26BACVA $1.8B

Speedwell Research Sep 16 1 click

Potential Winners And Losers From Nu Bank’s Aggressive Launch Into The United States (Ticker: NU)

Nu Bank’s U.S. launch pairs 4.5% APY and 2% cashback with fee-free USDC remittances, pressuring SoFi, Capital One and cross-border transfer…

NU $75BSOFI $18B

Emerging Moats Research Sep 16

LifeMD: Still Undervalued Despite Earnings Miss

LifeMD cut 2026 revenue and EBITDA guidance as subscribers fell and customer acquisition costs reached 59% of revenue, prompting a shift…

LFMD $113M

Eli Gooch Sep 16 1 click

Brad Jacobs and the QXO Thesis

QXO applies Brad Jacobs’s consolidation playbook to fragmented building materials, anchored by its TopBuild acquisition and a strategy of…

QXO $11BXPO $21B

Bearstone Sep 16 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LII

Dell’s AI-server demand and Microchip’s data-center components lead updates on Cirrus Logic and STMicroelectronics, alongside a weekly…

CRUS $5.4BSTM $41B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 16 1 click

Forget Drones: Ondas Is Building An Autonomous Warfare Ecosystem

Ondas Holdings, ONDS, grew Q2 2026 revenue 1,235% to $83.7 million after acquisitions and is integrating drone and autonomous warfare…

ONDS $3.5B

Analysis Fundamental Sep 16 1 click

Ethos' Biggest Distributor by Head Count Ranked It Last on Stage

Ethos relies on three carriers for 88% of revenue as TruStage payment failures triggered policy lapses and Family First Life publicly…

LIFE $2.5B

Hunterbrook Sep 15 4 clicks

Friday, October 16, 2026

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