Friday, October 16, 2026

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

Brookfield Asset Management: What If The AI Boom Backfires?

Brookfield Asset Management's fee revenue rose 16.2% and distributable earnings 15.8%, but its 18% five-year target relies on AI-led growth…

BAM $72B

SA Daniel Schönberger Oct 15 3 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

Everyone wants to defend CoreWeave but who really knows

CoreWeave faces fresh skepticism as another AI trade selloff collides with bullish defenses of the company.

A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.

Coherent | Management Call

Peabody Energy: The Recovery Case Depends On Centurion

Peabody Energy’s recovery case hinges on Centurion, coal-market leverage, capital allocation and balance-sheet strength amid commodity…

BTU $3.1B

SA CAN Analyst Oct 14 1 click

POST · long

Post Holdings INC

Post Holdings remains a large position after the stock's recent decline.

Canterra Minerals: Research Note

Canterra Minerals increased Lundberg indicated tonnage 55% to 26.1Mt, with 226.2Kt of contained copper equivalent, supporting a Buchans…

Kenorland Minerals: Research Flash

Franco-Nevada bought 10.0 million Kenorland shares, a 12.4% stake, for C$22.2 million in a secondary transaction that issued no new shares.

The Final Countdown: An Update on GFL’s Sale

GFL Environmental’s take-private bids reportedly fall within $50 to $55, with a top-of-range offer likely needed to secure shareholder…

Is EDA Dead?

Synopsys and OpenAI will share revenue from GPT-Synopsys, an AI chip-design model built on Synopsys’ licensed EDA tools rather than…

The Thin Margin of Safety in Selling Compute

CoreWeave’s compute-selling economics face a narrowing margin of safety if new capacity closes today’s AI supply-demand gap.

Portfolio Update September 2026

Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.

Ciena, A Former Telecom Bust, Is Now In The Early Stages Of A Bona Fide Mega Boom

Ciena’s optical networking equipment sales to stronger telecom customers underpin a 2027 long thesis, unlike its 2000-era boom.

CIEN $51B

SA Marc Gerstein Oct 5 2 clicks

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…

Practical Parametric Yield

Cerebras’s WSE-3 faces parametric-yield constraints that could restrict supply, making power and clock-speed tradeoffs central to its next…