Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.
Friday, October 16, 2026
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George Noble on X
@richardsmith $IREN could be a zero.
Barbarian Capital on X
$PM crazy intraday moves (incl new intraday ATH both days) July 28 Oct 15 $COST $KO $BUD $MO $MDLZ similar on these two days; earnings day-like moves https://t.co/jVyJ8a4Tkp
Barbarian Capital on X
E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7
Myles on X
Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.
A Capital on X
@edge_of_power Sounds like cope. Smart money says $CIFR is a 🍩
Lee Roach on X
Target has been completely liquidated of every single Pokemon card and they put up this sign. I’m standing and watching this area and there have been dozens of grown me. Come into your look for Pokemon cards. Market sleeping on GameStop $GME with their entire thumb up their ass. https://t.co/9iA5sovJ8Q
Kuppy on X
Where were the signs..?? $CRWV https://t.co/YEEG8BJ02p
Investor Letters
All letters- Distillate Capital 2026 Q3 TOL $12B
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended September 30, 2026 BIO $9.7BCRL $15B
- Rewey Asset Management 3Q26 UCTT $2.5BWDOFF $3.3B
- Hosking Partners Q3 2026 DHT $4.1BHAFN $5.4B
- Guinness Global Investors third quarter of 2026 AFL $59BDANOY $44B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q26 ADBE $98BADYEN $34B
- Wedgewood Partners Third Quarter 2026 MSI $74BODFL $38B
- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 JPPTY $68BNGG $80B
Modine Deep Dive
Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…
AppLovin Deep Dive
AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…
Brookfield Asset Management: What If The AI Boom Backfires?
Brookfield Asset Management's fee revenue rose 16.2% and distributable earnings 15.8%, but its 18% five-year target relies on AI-led growth…
Daniel Schönberger 3 clicks
Constellation: Stars Aligning?
Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…
Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!
Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.
October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…
Everyone wants to defend CoreWeave but who really knows
CoreWeave faces fresh skepticism as another AI trade selloff collides with bullish defenses of the company.
A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI
Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.
Coherent | Management Call
Peabody Energy: The Recovery Case Depends On Centurion
Peabody Energy’s recovery case hinges on Centurion, coal-market leverage, capital allocation and balance-sheet strength amid commodity…
CAN Analyst 1 click
AEGXF · long Aecon Group Inc.
Aecon Group’s long thesis targets 50-80% share-price upside over 6-12 months as the company shifts beyond a complex special situation.
Hindsight Capital
Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…
New Buy : Honeywell Aerospace $HONA
Honeywell Aerospace, newly spun off as HONA, fell 41% from post-listing highs after Q2 2026 as supply-chain bottlenecks delayed revenue…
GitLab: Positioned To Benefit From Software Development Explosion
GitLab's Q2 FY2027 beat and raised guidance reflect large deals, paid consumption growth and AI demand, while valuation rests on revenue…
Research and Value 2 clicks
Intuit: Still in Free Fall After Investor Day
Intuit shares have fallen 60.2% year over year as customer acquisition slows, while management says AI is not the cause and expects growth…
Reddit: DCF Valuation
Reddit’s DCF values shares at $225, driven by international ARPU expansion from $2.2 to $8.3 by 2035 and 38% operating margins.
Oklo: Shares Have Plunged, But I'm Still Bearish
Oklo shares have fallen 77% since October 2025 as commercialization slips beyond 2027, revenue estimates fall and dilution continues.
Ian Bezek 4 clicks
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…
IonQ: Nvidia QPU Catalyst Isn't Enough
IonQ's Q2 2026 revenue rose 287% to $80.1 million, but durability hinges on its $485 million RPO and enterprise adoption for production AI…
Deep Value Investing 
Single Stock Spotlight #15: Rocket Companies (RKT)
Rocket Companies combines Redfin, Rocket Mortgage and Mr. Cooper into an end-to-end homeownership platform, adding mortgage servicing fees…
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