Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.6BSBUX $113B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 NVDA $5.3T

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Key Context by Tae Kim 7 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $544M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 22 clicks

From X

@Adam_Wyden Mar 26

Adam D. Wyden on X

$DRVN

@gatorcapital Mar 17

Derek Pilecki on X

@DavidBrail Doesn’t seem like they will. But, for the new bid to be worse than Trian’s $49/share cash bid, committee would have to assume $VCTR shares decline 45% to $36. That seems like an unreasonable assumption because Victory would then trade at a 3x P/E.

@Seawolfcap Mar 17 2 clicks

Porter Collins on X

@CorneliaLake 100% probability Geck rules against $SOC. It's going to be funny to watch

@gatorcapital Mar 17

Derek Pilecki on X

New $VCTR bid for $JHG. In the slide deck, Victory says the deal will result in +50% accretion. 2027 EPS goes from $7.56 to at least $11.34. The combined company would trade at 6x 2027 EPS.

@LaughingH20Cap Mar 16

Laughing Water Capital on X

@Klad_blok delayed inflection stinks but I think Mr mkt wrongly thinks $LFCR needs to raise equity to redeem the Series A pfd. However, the pfd is designed to PIK. That is a real cost, but nowhere near as bad as an equity raise here. the biz is already won so the inflection is still coming. https://t.co/KmKu3aPsKF

@HedgeyeRetail Mar 10

Brian McGough on X

Hey $KSS...Thanks for showing up today. You 'beat the quarter'. Golf clap. Comp missed. GM missed. Made the FCF number by cutting SG&A and Capex. Basically burning the office furniture. Extended payables -- vendors working with you to stay alive -- until the don't. $NKE will be the first to pull. Then you file...

@psyopcapital Mar 4 1 click

Psyop Capital on X

$OTCM beast of a quarter https://t.co/6h385yzu4x

@CapitalVoss Mar 4

Voss Capital on X

The Voss Q4 2025 Letter to Partners is up. Updates on $PAR, $FLYW, $CLBT, and new core idea $CHH, an asset light hotel franchisor that has rarely ever been cheaper. https://t.co/DTOoXGIN0M https://t.co/gjWBSHET4j

RTX Q3 Preview: Two Growth Engines Make This Aerospace And Defense Leader A 'Buy'

RTX’s $289 billion backlog, including $119 billion in defense, supports growth from defense contracts and commercial aerospace aftermarket…

RTX $259B

Blake Winiecki Oct 14 5 clicks

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $46B

P Equity Research Oct 14 19 clicks

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

ASML $631B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 14 27 clicks

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $763B

C Jessen Oct 14 36 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $329B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 32 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $21B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 16 clicks

Palantir Is Not C3.Ai, But C3.Ai Wrote Its Watch List - Downgrade Palantir To Hold, Sell C3.Ai

Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…

PLTR $471B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 14 11 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

ASML Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ASML reported Q3 sales of €11.7 billion, up 55% year over year, and guided Q4 sales to €14.2 billion to €15.2 billion amid capacity…

ASML $631B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 14 10 clicks

Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case

Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…

ETN $153B

Value Capital Research Oct 14 10 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 8 clicks

SRTA · long

Strata Critical Medical INC

Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.

SRTA $415M

Value Investors Club Jul 16 3 clicks

Scarcity is the boogey man for ASML, Applied Materials

ASML’s strong quarterly results failed to prevent a selloff, as AI investors focused on scarcity fears facing chip-equipment makers…

ASML $631BAMAT $329B

The Technology Letter Oct 13 9 clicks

Apple HomeView, The New Apple TV, The App Story

Apple HomeView raises questions about demand for expensive Apple devices built around subpar AI.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 13 8 clicks

Expert Call | Corning

Corning’s NVIDIA-backed 10x fiber expansion, enterprise connector demand and carrier capacity plans frame its optical communications…

GLW $116B

P Equity Research Oct 13 38 clicks

Apple and LG, The House For Everyone Else, Agent Standards and Amazon

Apple is leaning on partner integration for the smart home, while Amazon faces strategic choices around AI agents.

AAPL $5TAMZN $2.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 13 7 clicks

Nvidia’s Investor Meeting

Nvidia’s investor meeting features CFO Colette Kress and IR and Strategic Finance VP Toshiya Hari.

NVDA $5.3T

P Equity Research Oct 13 12 clicks

OCP Day One: AMD CEO Sees Strong Demand for AI Inference and CPUs

AMD CEO Lisa Su says demand for AI inference and CPUs continues to rise as computing capacity becomes more valuable.

AMD $905B

Key Context by Tae Kim Oct 13 4 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Adam D. Wyden on X

Derek Pilecki on X

Porter Collins on X

Derek Pilecki on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Brian McGough on X

Psyop Capital on X

Voss Capital on X

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