Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.6BSBUX $113B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 NVDA $5.3T

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Key Context by Tae Kim 7 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $544M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 22 clicks

From X

@HedgeyeRetail May 15

Brian McGough on X

This $DKS $FL deal is going to go down as one of the most destructive deals ever done in Retail, like, EVER. Right up there with $DLTR $FDO, and $MW $JOSB. We're pressing our $DKS short here, hard. And good riddance to our $FL long.

@HaydenCapital May 13

Fred Liu on X

More 3PL Datapoints. $1519.HK $SE 1) External funding raised by 3PLs 2) Lower volumes are leading to negative spiral for delivery workers (who are paid per package). Fewer deliveries per worker = less $ per day = workers leaving for growing 3PLs (Shopee Express & J&T) = more supply / competition of delivery workers = cheaper per parcel costs for SPX & J&T (widening moat). And further erosion of network density for sub-scale 3PLs. https://t.co/n35vONTb7Y

@gatorcapital May 13

Derek Pilecki on X

I sent out my Q1 investor letter this morning, sharing my investment thesis on $VRTS. If you didn't see a copy and are an accredited investor, DM me your email address, and I'll send it to you.

@catechwilliams May 9 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$ACA Levered roll-up (4x levered) hodgepodge of low-quality cap intensive commodity businesses w struggling end-markets (sub-scale aggregates, building products, ag). Negative organic growth w unrealistic guidance. Forced to sell an asset to avoid covenant breach. 30x P/E

@catechwilliams Apr 23

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT Just won the massive jumbotron project for the new Titans stadium. Estimated to be $180M. Will be the largest set of displays in the NFL. Bills, Browns stadiums to be announced soon. Wouldn’t be surprised if Mitsubishi acquires them given interest in the category.

@HaydenCapital Apr 22

Fred Liu on X

It has to consolidate at some point, and already is this year. It's relatively easier to build vs ice cars (esp in China with robust supplier ecosystem). But hard to scale, differentiate, and distribute your products. Requires billions in funding. Btw, you see $LI making a bigger push overseas this year, because they're about to launch BEV in China. So these hybrid models are going abroad to countries with less developed charging networks, where hybrids are more practical. It's a way to keep production lines busy, and might even make higher margins due to lower competition abroad + higher prices.

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21

Little Owl Research on X

With contract disputes and litigation set to surge, I believe Burford is well positioned to benefit. Struggling firms will increasingly look to shore up capital—Many cannot afford to wait 2+ years to see the case through. $BUR

@LittleOwlRes Apr 21

Little Owl Research on X

Burford’s value prop is high to these firms, and the significant supply spike puts them in a fantastic position to capitalize on the demand for cash. Additionally settlement with Argentine government seems highly likely at this point. Long $BUR

RTX Q3 Preview: Two Growth Engines Make This Aerospace And Defense Leader A 'Buy'

RTX’s $289 billion backlog, including $119 billion in defense, supports growth from defense contracts and commercial aerospace aftermarket…

RTX $259B

Blake Winiecki Oct 14 5 clicks

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $46B

P Equity Research Oct 14 19 clicks

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

ASML $631B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 14 27 clicks

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $763B

C Jessen Oct 14 36 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $329B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 32 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $21B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 16 clicks

Palantir Is Not C3.Ai, But C3.Ai Wrote Its Watch List - Downgrade Palantir To Hold, Sell C3.Ai

Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…

PLTR $471B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 14 11 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

ASML Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ASML reported Q3 sales of €11.7 billion, up 55% year over year, and guided Q4 sales to €14.2 billion to €15.2 billion amid capacity…

ASML $631B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 14 10 clicks

Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case

Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…

ETN $153B

Value Capital Research Oct 14 10 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 8 clicks

SRTA · long

Strata Critical Medical INC

Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.

SRTA $415M

Value Investors Club Jul 16 3 clicks

Scarcity is the boogey man for ASML, Applied Materials

ASML’s strong quarterly results failed to prevent a selloff, as AI investors focused on scarcity fears facing chip-equipment makers…

ASML $631BAMAT $329B

The Technology Letter Oct 13 9 clicks

Apple HomeView, The New Apple TV, The App Story

Apple HomeView raises questions about demand for expensive Apple devices built around subpar AI.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 13 8 clicks

Expert Call | Corning

Corning’s NVIDIA-backed 10x fiber expansion, enterprise connector demand and carrier capacity plans frame its optical communications…

GLW $116B

P Equity Research Oct 13 38 clicks

Apple and LG, The House For Everyone Else, Agent Standards and Amazon

Apple is leaning on partner integration for the smart home, while Amazon faces strategic choices around AI agents.

AAPL $5TAMZN $2.8T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 13 7 clicks

Nvidia’s Investor Meeting

Nvidia’s investor meeting features CFO Colette Kress and IR and Strategic Finance VP Toshiya Hari.

NVDA $5.3T

P Equity Research Oct 13 12 clicks

OCP Day One: AMD CEO Sees Strong Demand for AI Inference and CPUs

AMD CEO Lisa Su says demand for AI inference and CPUs continues to rise as computing capacity becomes more valuable.

AMD $905B

Key Context by Tae Kim Oct 13 4 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Brian McGough on X

Fred Liu on X

Derek Pilecki on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Fred Liu on X

Little Owl Research on X

Little Owl Research on X

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