Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7BSBUX $109B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 NVDA $5.2T

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Key Context by Tae Kim 5 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $556M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 19 clicks

From X

@RagingVentures Oct 14 2 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@orrdavid @merrillmatter To be fair, I asked you *a lot* of questions - $SPCX was far from the hardest! In response, you were fully transparent and didn’t dodge any of my questions. You were great. I can’t wait to share the full cleaned up transcript of our discussion, likely in early November.

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 14 5 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@bufetmastermind @secretlyaninja @mbamcnulty maybe i don't. I'd appreciate if you could explain. they had said 50% FCF margin on $1B in sales. $LQDA is still going to get to $1B in sales. Its just going to take longer. Tell me why 50% FCF margins are not in play. Bonus points if you can tell why they won't reduce costs

@HaydenCapital Oct 14 1 click

Fred Liu on X

Is Tiktok Shop slowing? J&T Express just reported SE Asia parcel volumes, and are flat for the year at ~31M per day for the last few qtrs. They're guiding to 50-55% full year growth, implying Q4 holiday season only ramps to 33-37M parcels. Evidence Shopee's VIP & logistics investments are working? $SE $1519.HK

@hkuppy Oct 14 1 click

Kuppy on X

I’m sure that $CRWV is money good on funding its gazillions of chip purchase orders, as long as someone funds $CRWV…🤭🤭 https://t.co/TOnS6iGurC

@gnoble79 Oct 14 8 clicks

George Noble on X

Keith, you are a total POS. You belong in jail for securities fraud. I own you. You laughed at me first shorting $OOEN at 8. You are such a pathetic, odious pile of garbage. So pathetic. The entire world is laughing at you. Thanks for playing. $OPEN @rabois @ericjackson @APompliano @

@BrokenMoats Oct 14 4 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Hottest trade in the past month.....retail stocks Seems odd with rates and oil and diesel moves over the same time frame. And these are not bounces from being oversold these are double digit moves in most cases to new highs while dpz struggled on their print this week, stocks like DKS collapsed around the time this trade started. Bifurcation in retail in recent weeks that seems to be favoring low quality. Something to watch for a reversal soon $KSS $FIGS $URBN $SHOP

@calvinblissett Oct 14 2 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

@valuedontlie Forgive me I haven’t done the work I may soon, isn’t the whole point of $VITL is having a brand and being specialized to insulate it from cyclicality to see degree? I’m one of those people who pay up for pasture raised no matter what

@BlueDuckCap Oct 14 5 clicks

BDC on X

It's been 189 days since @evanspiegel had a confirmed sale. The longest sales void ever, per what we can discern from filings. He's in a blackout window now. If the sales do not resume post Q3 window opening then that would seem bullish. We would love an insider buy, too. Evan buys stock here we would think $SNAP is +10% on that day. At least. Not advice. Just pointing out the cadence of form 4's and lack of historical insider buying.

RTX Q3 Preview: Two Growth Engines Make This Aerospace And Defense Leader A 'Buy'

RTX’s $289 billion backlog, including $119 billion in defense, supports growth from defense contracts and commercial aerospace aftermarket…

RTX $247B

Blake Winiecki Oct 14 4 clicks

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $52B

P Equity Research Oct 14 19 clicks

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

ASML $631B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 14 24 clicks

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $750B

C Jessen Oct 14 36 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $359B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 30 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 14 clicks

Palantir Is Not C3.Ai, But C3.Ai Wrote Its Watch List - Downgrade Palantir To Hold, Sell C3.Ai

Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…

PLTR $482B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 14 10 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

VSEC · long

Vse CORP

VSE Corp trades at $185, with a stated $246 fair value and 2027 estimated EV/EBITDA of 15x.

VSEC $4.5B

Value Investors Club May 30 2 clicks

Amazon 2Q'26: AWS Gets the Love

Amazon’s AWS grew 37% to a $169 billion run rate in 2Q’26, while North America retail margins fell excluding a $600 million tariff refund.

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Jul 31 1 click

Meta 2Q26 Business Update: 5 Call Options

Meta’s $140 billion 2026 capex plan pressures earnings while it bets on AI products and cloud sales to monetize excess compute before…

META $1.9T

Speedwell Research Jul 31

TSOH Weekly Roundup (07/31/2026)

Tractor Supply cut FY26 guidance and plans to close 75 Petsense stores; Sazerac’s Brown-Forman bid was rejected as prediction markets…

TSCO $18B

TSOH Investment Research Jul 31

[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us

OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…

OTCM $635M

scuttleblurb Jul 31 3 clicks

The AI Trade Burned Down: Let Round 2 Begin

Situational Awareness's leveraged AI fund helped trigger a memory-stock unwind after SK Hynix missed elevated expectations, exposing…

NVDA $5.2T

Vik's Newsletter Jul 31

BBB Foods: A Proven Discount Grocery Model With Ample Runway Ahead (Ticker: TBBB)

BBB Foods, Mexico’s discount grocer, is building a hard-discount model with room to expand across Mexico and beyond.

TBBB $6.8B

Emerging Moats Research Jul 31

This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers

A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…

RGR $686M

The Value Road Jul 30 5 clicks

Investment idea: Flowers Foods (FLO)

Flowers Foods cut its dividend to fund $300 million of debt reduction by 2027 after the $795 million Simple Mills acquisition lifted…

FLO $1.3B

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Jul 30

Meta 2Q'26: Not Amazing, Not Bad, and Still Compelling

Meta’s Q2 2026 revenue beat was offset by one-off costs and softer guidance, while generative ad ranking lifted conversions and Family of…

META $1.9T

MBI Deep Dives Jul 30 2 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Kuppy on X

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Broken Moats on X

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BDC on X

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