October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
Is this bullish or bearish $C? https://t.co/mUh1Wdw99N
@SowingAlphaSeed @ScroogeCap I nerded that subject out back in 2018, when i used to dive deeper on things. $GOGO
Ahh, I see we are back to selling everything and buying semis. So much fun, I love investing. At least this time I have a small $SOXS short and a $DXYZ long to make me feel a bit better.
Putting this out there: I’m betting that $OCC will go green today. If it doesn’t, a top shelf shot is on me for everybody who comes to the next @GeoInvesting / @MSmicrocaps in-person Conference. Hopefully low attendance or lots of “thanks, I’m on a drinking hiatus.” 🤣
$HAWK now trading around $17.15, or -34% below its $26 IPO price. Initial lock-up expired last week, but I think it is unlikely many shares will come to market at these prices. $HAWK is also being added to the $IWM. $HAWK continues to have strong defense tech tailwinds, and they now have $500 mm+ of cash on hand. Valuation is now much more attractive and below the $18.86 price of their pre-IPO Series E financing.
OH nooo. $OCC .. flat backlog. It will never keep growing. Backlog cadence: •Oct. 2025: $7.3M •Jan. 2026: $10.4M •Apr. 2026: $13.3M •Jul. 2026: $13.5M Half glass full: they maintained record backlog levels. Can’t believe I’m actually defending OCC, now.🤣
$TRIP just keeps drifting lower Chart looking pretty ugly... but soon to receive ~70% of market cap in cash from a divestiture Hmm... https://t.co/id7F8fQ7PS
@Maku_Capital It's a long list, some secular dynamics, some specific to $CASY, and competition, lots of it. This is not the right platform for me to lay out my entire short thesis....
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…
Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…
Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.
Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…
Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.
Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…
Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.
Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…
Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…
ASML’s strong quarterly results failed to prevent a selloff, as AI investors focused on scarcity fears facing chip-equipment makers…
SRTA · long Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.
Corning’s NVIDIA-backed 10x fiber expansion, enterprise connector demand and carrier capacity plans frame its optical communications…
Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…
SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…
BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…
Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.
CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…
Altria’s EPS gains rely on tax refunds and discount brands while Marlboro growth lags.
Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.
Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…
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