Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.6BSBUX $113B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $544M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 22 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

From X

@RagingVentures Aug 4

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Bought $CTRI ~$22-$22.50 into this post-earnings sell off. Margins were disappointing, but $CTRI is growing nicely given the tailwinds in energy and utility services. Margins should follow in time from greater scale & pricing power, and the balance sheet is vastly improved.

@convequity Aug 4

Convequity on X

Nvidia’s $2bn Marvell investment is not a simple endorsement $MRVL is one of the few real DSP alternatives to Broadcom. Nvidia lacked that lever — now it has influence. Marvell has also struggled in custom AI silicon and networking (Trainium 3 was a clear disappointment). The path of least resistance becomes designing compute that attaches to NVLink rather than building independent high-speed I/O. On scale-up, the field is largely NVLink vs Broadcom’s Ethernet camp. UALink was the alternative; Marvell was the key switch name. Once Marvell is aligned with Nvidia, UALink’s prospects as a true independent standard weaken. Three effects at once: 1) DSP influence, 2) custom ASICs pulled toward NVLink, and 3) a potential NVLink competitor blunted. We stayed on the sidelines. Not every Nvidia partnership is automatically bullish.

@david_katunaric Aug 4

Mikro Kap David on X

Large insider buy over at $HOG 40K shares, or almost $1M in open-market purchases

@DOMOCAPITAL Aug 4

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

$ALTO $GPRE Ethanol Blend Rate Shatters Record, as Cost Advantage Soars During Iran War https://t.co/SLJHUejmfX

@OddDiligence Aug 4

Odd Diligence on X

"The next wave of AI is robotics—and it starts with autonomous vehicles." $CCXI https://t.co/21o6xQV8zH

@ActAccordingly Aug 4 1 click

PAA Research on X

Big gap higher pre-mkt for $W. Furniture names in general have been ripping the past 3-months. QUIETLY. 4+ years of brutal housing market headwinds and these businesses have been grinding away, generating cash, buying back stock, preserving margins. Easy comps + the potential of an upturn in housing velocity make it a good recipe for longs with valuations that remain notably cheap relative to mid-cycle EBITDA. Look at some of these 3-month returns: $BOBS: 64.8% $W: 35.8% $BSET: 34.1% $WSM: 33.2% $HOFT: 21.4% $LZB: 18.5% $ETD 12.2% There's plenty of juice in the group with a sustained upturn in home furnishings spend after the post-COVID19 crash. $WSM is on our Buyback Outliers list. I own $BSET, $ETD, $BBBY

@psyopcapital Aug 4 1 click

Psyop Capital on X

Good numbers from Broadridge $BR. Stock was stupid cheap a few weeks ago, hit 14x trailing eps for a capital light monopoly

@ActAccordingly Aug 4 1 click

PAA Research on X

Interesting look at who made money on $BSP's take out of #airtable. Some people didn't do great here, but a return of funds is always better than nothing in VC land. I'd love to see the original deck on Airtable from 2013 and what this business has morphed into.... https://t.co/D5PMxk25bF

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Discount Is Attractive, But Credit Has Not Stabilized; Hold

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…

MSDL $1.5B

Rubicon Associates Oct 14 1 click

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $329B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 32 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $21B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 16 clicks

Palantir Is Not C3.Ai, But C3.Ai Wrote Its Watch List - Downgrade Palantir To Hold, Sell C3.Ai

Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…

PLTR $471B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 14 11 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case

Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…

ETN $153B

Value Capital Research Oct 14 10 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 8 clicks

Scarcity is the boogey man for ASML, Applied Materials

ASML’s strong quarterly results failed to prevent a selloff, as AI investors focused on scarcity fears facing chip-equipment makers…

AMAT $329B

The Technology Letter Oct 13 9 clicks

SRTA · long

Strata Critical Medical INC

Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.

SRTA $415M

Value Investors Club Jul 16 3 clicks

Expert Call | Corning

Corning’s NVIDIA-backed 10x fiber expansion, enterprise connector demand and carrier capacity plans frame its optical communications…

GLW $115B

P Equity Research Oct 13 38 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $16B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?

SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…

SBDXF $498M

Cannibal Stocks Oct 13 8 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI

Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 13 5 clicks

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 11 clicks

Altria: The Rally Looks Ahead Of Underlying Earnings Growth

Altria’s EPS gains rely on tax refunds and discount brands while Marlboro growth lags.

MO $125B

Vishal Jadaun Oct 13 2 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 7 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

VICR $10B

CV's Substack Oct 12 5 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Convequity on X

Mikro Kap David on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Odd Diligence on X

PAA Research on X

Psyop Capital on X

PAA Research on X

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