October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Back to today
From X
Negligible Capital on X
That outta help - $CRWV https://t.co/6eLabLzAH4
Asif Suria on X
Bending Spoons now up 45% on this news. If you are thinking this can't possibly be real, then the source document is an exhibit filed with $BSP's 6-K today: https://t.co/9b6y1XLIb6
Lee Roach on X
Went to my local GameStop $GME today. The manager said they have more pre-orders to Zelda: Ocarina of Time than they do for GTA 6. The pre-orders are so much they are going to have a midnight release which they haven't had in years. He also said they going to start rolling out card tournaments inside of the store.
Prepared Remarks on X
$orcl https://t.co/TMx0Ddmhe7
Asif Suria on X
Buffett trying to make sure they don't turn off those AOL servers. $BSP $BRK.B https://t.co/dCxyARdRhP
Sheel Mohnot on X
Berkshire now has a $1.3B position in Bending Spoons. Stock is up 38% (to $52) on news that Berkshire bought $330M via private placement at $33/share $BSP https://t.co/oGfvtwcdED
Negligible Capital on X
D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria (has a $100 price target and a neutral rating on $CRWV ) says “the equity value is going to be zero” on a podcast released today A bit conflicting there Gil https://t.co/aKJmqVZlZ5
Investor Letters
All letters- Southeastern Asset Management 3Q26 REGN $79B
- Fiduciary Management Q3 2026 CDW $18BJKHY $11B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd September 2026 CHDRF $84BLVMUY $212B
- Latitude Investment Management Q3 2026 ADBE $93BNKE $52B
- Fenimore Asset Management Q3 2026 BN $82BMLM $33B
- FPA Crescent Fund 3Q26 028260 $35BADI $201B
- Mar Vista Investment Partners third quarter 2026 GEV $251BMTD $32B
- Cedar Grove Capital Management Q3 2026 AXON $33B
First Tracks Biotherapeutics: Teva Validated The Pathway, ANB033 May Own The Receptor
First Tracks Biotherapeutics’ ANB033 posted stronger Phase 1b celiac efficacy than Teva’s IL-15 inhibitor, with $168 million funding…
Equity Eagle 5 clicks
Research Roundup Vol. LVI
Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.
Palantir Is Not C3.Ai, But C3.Ai Wrote Its Watch List - Downgrade Palantir To Hold, Sell C3.Ai
Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…
The Alpha Analyst 7 clicks
Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not
Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.
Lennar, Part One: The Story
Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…
Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive
Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.
Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case
Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…
Value Capital Research 4 clicks
Insider activity September 2026
Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…
Scarcity is the boogey man for ASML, Applied Materials
ASML’s strong quarterly results failed to prevent a selloff, as AI investors focused on scarcity fears facing chip-equipment makers…
Expert Call | Corning
Corning’s NVIDIA-backed 10x fiber expansion, enterprise connector demand and carrier capacity plans frame its optical communications…
WDC · long Western Digital CORP
Western Digital, a hard-disk manufacturer, is pitched as a long after significant share-price moves deter investors.
Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)
Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…
BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews
BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…
Terry Chrisomalis 2 clicks
Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean
Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.
Vicor Update, Part Two
Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…
Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings
Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…
Expert Call | Nebius
Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…
Dell's Tailwinds
Dell booked $131.7B of AI server orders in four quarters and held a $95B backlog as enterprise AI demand accelerates.
Q3 2026 Jenga IP Quarterly Letter
Jenga Global Master Fund returned 8.10% in Q3 2026, added Adobe and Mexican airports, and later initiated S&P Global.
LQDA: finer powder, higher doses
Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…
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