October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Back to today 
From X
catechwilliams on X
@TonyTony9999991 There is a massive shortage of capacity industrywide. AI DC vacancy rates running 2-3%. Tenants are scrambling for access to computing power. The customer loss was referenced as it would strongly signal that $WYFI won't get a new one (ie. likely performance issues at NC-1).
catechwilliams on X
The $WYFI data center which was formerly a food distribution center. https://t.co/t2cpUNZXqp
catechwilliams on X
$WYFI Retrofitted a food distro warehouse into a NC-1 DC. Lost anchor tenant ($20M rev), promising a new large customer since 10/27. CEO claiming “very very soon” for last 20 days. Increasingly evident will not happen. Sell-side & stock prices assume huge rev ramp. Burning cash.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@mil01425146 @yummyCenturyEgg @JBonfato @23Titan31 Happy to talk about $NN, Part 15, antenna science, radar science, tolling, etc., but I prefer to not be tagged on anything having to do with baked goods and personal proclivities. TYIA.
Laughing Water Capital on X
Interesting framing for $NN. $95 is pretty far above my upside case, but agree the $T / FirstNet arrangement is interesting context, despite some obvious differences. https://t.co/b3FsHVkivk
Laughing Water Capital on X
@FishOnCapital IMHO best to view this in context of the pod w/ the banker from the 600 MHz. To paraphrase, all of the likely buyers wanted the 600, but AT&T won b/c they were able to move fastest. I suspect $VZ, $TMUS & others will be ready to move fast for $NN's 900. https://t.co/5gRpmej4Bk
Voss Capital on X
Here is a link to our Q3 2025 letter to Partners. Theme: Escaping value purgatory. https://t.co/ZSdzeu3Plg $FIVN $XPOF $EEFT $PRKS $CLBT $FLYW @jonrice80 @taylor_hndrson @Scott_K_Rodgers @AggieCapitalist https://t.co/523nEw39yJ
catechwilliams on X
$PTRN Recent IPO. $AMZN Mktplace wholesaler. Buys products up front, capital intensive, bears price, inventory risk. Exposed to FBA cost & AMZN algo changes. Claims AI optimization which AMZN explicitly blocks. Razor thin margins, neg op leverage. All peers went BK in last 3yrs.
Investor Letters
All letters- Southeastern Asset Management 3Q26 ACI $6.3BFBIN $4.8B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd September 2026 VVVNF $1.7B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd Q3 2026 BSRT $181MCHRY $427M
- Fenimore Asset Management Q3 2026 MBGL $5.5BNOVT $5B
- Diranko Capital Q3 2026 AT $561MLFCR $242M
- Stone Sentinel Capital Q326 5515 $315M3565 $142M
- Hood River Capital Management Q3 2026 EOPSF $1.5BEQR $1B
- Kingdom Capital Advisors Q3 2026 BBGI $17MEVC $584M
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Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter
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Quick Value #334 - Flowers Foods (FLO)
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Penguin Solutions: Explosive AI Growth At A Surprisingly Low Valuation
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H&R REIT, an opportunity in a corrupt process
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Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Hong Kong stocks Value Stocks late in a Bull Market, and Consolidating a Big Short
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Hippo Holdings ($HIPO): The Insurtech That Stopped Chasing Hype and Started Making Money
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Brazil Potash: Bull Case Is Starting To (Slowly) Bloom
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Wolf Report 4 clicks
You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way
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Blackstone Secured Lending: A Solid Balance Sheet But About To Cut Its Dividend - HOLD
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Rubicon Associates 1 click
Hyster Yale (HY) Multibagger potential as confluence of negatives subside. Attractive after markets part services model
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