October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Thank you again for these great $WAL Pr calls, Bill https://t.co/pZo95YXpKI https://t.co/YbY03WulEx
Calvin Blissett on X
@ThothCapital @valuedontlie I would love to/can’t wait to read your $calm report
Deep Sail Capital on X
Tags: $JACK $GPRN $CRMT $HTZ $RTB $ARQQ $BTQ $MNRA $RUM $GPRO $SWMR $EQPT
Laughing Water Capital on X
@mbamcnulty Mark ILD @ $0. Assume $LQDA continues to + $20M in PAH revs per Q (Q3 was $30M) and @ YE'27 its annualizing ~$930M revs. At $1B they said "over 50%" would be FCF so call it $465M in normalized FCF or ~$4.50/share. Even very low multiples get you alot of upside in ~14 months.
Calvin Blissett on X
@valuedontlie Colin would you pick $CALM over $VITL and why? Thank you, love your research and opinions
Colin King on X
August write-up on Cal Maine $CALM now available to freebie accounts on VIC... Good overview of the situation... at ~$60-65/sh it looks like an asymmetric bet with a 4-6 quarter time horizon https://t.co/60U009ZX53
Ian Bezek on X
Happy 5-year anniversary to those who celebrate. $UPST https://t.co/zK4vPVEjjZ https://t.co/Xog81EWEvl
A Capital on X
@grok @grok are these good or bad convert terms for $CIFR?
Investor Letters
All letters- Southeastern Asset Management 3Q26 ACI $6.3BFBIN $4.7B
- Fenimore Asset Management Q3 2026 MBGL $5.3BNOVT $5.3B
- Mar Vista Investment Partners third quarter 2026 SARO $6.6B
- Kingdom Capital Advisors Q3 2026 UNFI $2.7B
- Vltava Fund 3/2026 ATDRF $3.9BRMVEY $3.7B
- Cedar Grove Capital Management Q3 2026 ABVX $7.5BHIMS $6.6B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd August 2026 9301 $3.1B
- Quercus Fund 2026 (Jan-Aug) FCODF $4.7B
Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter
Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…
LQDA: finer powder, higher doses
Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…
Global-e: The Invisible Engine Behind the Brands You Buy From Directly Online! $GLBE
Global-e provides cross-border merchant-of-record, payments, tax and fulfillment services to more than 1,500 brands, including Shopify…
Penguin Solutions: Explosive AI Growth At A Surprisingly Low Valuation
Penguin Solutions grew FY2026 revenue 26% as AI data-center and memory demand expanded, while negative free cash flow and cyclical memory…
Investor Overview 4 clicks
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Hong Kong stocks Value Stocks late in a Bull Market, and Consolidating a Big Short
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common shareholders face at least 90% dilution if Treasury converts its growing senior preferred stakes into…
Deep Dive: Inter & Co
Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…
Glaukos: Steep Premium For New Therapies And Growth
Glaukos is expanding from glaucoma devices into sustained drug delivery and corneal cross-linking, but GKOS's premium valuation leaves…
Myriam Alvarez 4 clicks
You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way
Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…
Blackstone Secured Lending: A Solid Balance Sheet But About To Cut Its Dividend - HOLD
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund faces a likely dividend cut after its first shortfall in 28 quarters, despite 1.8% non-accruals, $2.8…
Rubicon Associates 1 click
Research & Analysis: Legence Corp. (NASDAQ: LGN)
Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…
PTRN · short Pattern Group INC
Pattern Group is a fragile consumer business targeted on the short side.
Wix: The Market Sees The Threat, Not The Opportunity
Wix’s Base44 vibe-coding tool reached $100 million ARR in a year as AI disruption fears obscure expanding services, customer lock-in and…
Fernanda Galvez Jalil 1 click
Cava Group: Buying The (Feta) Dip? (Ticker: CAVA)
Cava’s $3 million AUVs, 25.1% restaurant margins and sector-leading same-store sales support its expansion case as awareness rose from 40%…
This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources
Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…
Thursday Tailwinds #10: 8 Oct 2026
US aluminium tariffs, European glass automation and Foraco’s constrained drilling fleet create multi-year pricing tailwinds, with Century…
The Story Millrose Told Wall Street About Lennar Purchases Doesn’t Match The Evidence
Millrose told Goldman its Lennar purchases had rent-to-own tenants lined up, but most analyzed homes were advertised for rent and showed…
Golar LNG q2’26 Operational Update
Golar LNG ordered a $2.45 billion fourth FLNG vessel, targeting 3.5MTPA of capacity and $400 million in annual EBITDA under a 20-year…
Maase: The Math And The Valuation Don't Add Up To Me
Maase, a $5B AI infrastructure company with sub-$50M annualized revenue and persistent losses, faces governance concerns over super-voting…
Wolf Report 1 click
I Finally Proved That the Market Is Not Efficient
Bread Financial’s 10-year Signet card deal transfers an estimated $526.5 million in NPV to Signet and $1 billion in payments, while BFH…
💥New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - And Go Concepts, LLC (Salad and Go)💥
Salad and Go filed Chapter 11 after its Texas and Oklahoma expansion failed, seeking to sell 65 leases to Dutch Bros for $105 million as 7…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
