Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $556M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 21 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

From X

@bank_reg Sep 3 1 click

Bank Reg Blog on X

Interesting follow up on this today: The SEC settled an enforcement action against $TBBK's now-retired CFO, fining him $30,000 for directing the company's 10-K to be filed when he knew the auditors hadn't yet signed off. https://t.co/9N28UhEMlw https://t.co/8yBRR6MC7Q https://t.co/1lPgtgKyWD

@finphysnerd Sep 3

Myles on X

For basically the first time in my history I have positive beta to $BTC while it's rallying and it feels nice.

@natstewart5 Sep 3

Nat Stewart on X

I did an article on SharkNina $SN September 5, 2023, shortly after the very unusual (split from a non-US company) spinoff. https://t.co/7JoGbrRP70 No paywall https://t.co/9XSWVQpqv4

@leevalueroach Sep 3 5 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Wall Street hates $LULU. Twitter hates it. Should I buy it or for shits and giggles or just throw myself into traffic? https://t.co/PzqJvBv2UK

@finphysnerd Sep 3

Myles on X

$ASAN down 12% on weak guidance. This earnings season has sucked so gotta enjoy my wins. https://t.co/wHULS7a1xW

@KEDM_COM Sep 3

KEDM.com on X

Chinese stockbrokers FUTU $FUTU and Up Fintech $TIGR are taking a beating after the Chinese securities regulator ordered all unauthorized Mainland accounts to be closed within 2 years, with only sell orders and fund withdrawals allowed. Both companies will be fined, but a rumored 1.85b CNY fine for FUTU is less than 2 months of profit. For FUTU, mainlanders are 13% of accounts but closer to 20% of total assets and revenue. FUTU's rapid growth in HK and SE Asia has diversified the business in recent years, and the loss of Chinese customers is less than 1 year's worth of customer growth outside China. What remains is a faster-growing, HK/SE Asia consumer play with no China risk, which probably trades at 8x P/E with net cash. That is, if this was the last shoe to drop and Mother China isn’t intent on ruining them.

@ChrisCamillo Sep 3 5 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

spent a couple hrs this wk on $LULU research, as i do with numerous retailers during back to school and holiday season. lots of conflicting data and a tough setup to handicap going into the report. often the best trade is the one you don’t make. https://t.co/z3xvfjOsRE

@TidefallCapital Sep 3

Trevor Scott on X

Where were the signs $LULU https://t.co/B1RLkiGdlH

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Discount Is Attractive, But Credit Has Not Stabilized; Hold

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…

MSDL $1.5B

Rubicon Associates Oct 14 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Femasys: Launch Is Funded. If The Sales Force Delivers, Then The Company Is In Tall Cotton.

Femasys' $30 million PIPE funds its fertility and birth-control launch, with upside tied to OB/GYN sales execution and health-system wins.

FEMY $14M

Daron Evans Oct 14

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 8 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $15B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?

SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…

SBDXF $498M

Cannibal Stocks Oct 13 8 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

SRTA · long

Strata Critical Medical INC

Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.

SRTA $382M

Value Investors Club Jul 16 3 clicks

GitLab Will Finally Break GitHub's Monopoly In 2027

GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…

GTLB $8.9B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Oct 13 1 click

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI

Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 13 5 clicks

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 11 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 7 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

VICR $10B

CV's Substack Oct 12 5 clicks

Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…

RBRK $25B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 12 4 clicks

Expert Call | Nebius

Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…

NBIS $46B

P Equity Research Oct 12 5 clicks

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…

LYFT $6.5B

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 12 9 clicks

Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter

Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…

CPB $6BMBC $1.4B

Bristlemoon Capital Oct 12 11 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Bank Reg Blog on X

Myles on X

Nat Stewart on X

Lee Roach on X

Myles on X

KEDM.com on X

Chris Camillo on X

Trevor Scott on X

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