Wednesday, October 14, 2026

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October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

From X

@InvestSpecial

Dalius - Special Sits on X

Love me some microcap crap. $GLND, an early-stage oil exploration company in Greenland, has just more than doubled in value. Well, of course, the Greenland-Denmark-US security agreement was announced. It all makes sense now: there is oil in Greenland, so obviously the agreement means the oil will be extracted. Perfect connection. To be serious, though, this is one of the most promotional stories I’ve seen recently. Why? GLND plans to drill what the CEO claims could be $1T worth of oil reserves in Greenland. The problem is that not a single well has ever been drilled on this land. The company does not even have the green light to drill yet. And btw, GLND doesn’t even own the licence. $80M.L owns it and is currently being acquired by GLND. The spread is extremely wide, but I wouldn’t touch it. The whole thing smells fishy. 80M.L and its management also have a terrible track record of dilution built around promises of enormous exploration potential across other Greenland projects. Unsurprisingly, very little came of those stories. The worst part here is the media coverage. It largely misses the promotional nature of the story and instead keeps feeding the Trump/Greenland narrative that management appears happy to lean into. That is also why you now get a huge move in GLND on a security agreement that, as far as the underlying oil project is concerned, changes essentially nothing. Microcap world is a fun place to be.

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

SRTA · long

Strata Critical Medical INC

Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

Expert Call | Nebius

Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…

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