Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.6BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

Oct 14 HWM $88B

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Monte Independent Investment Research 15 clicks

From X

@AltaFoxCapital Dec 28 2 clicks

Connor Haley on X

@AndrewTakes @taobanker @CGSCapital @Compounding_K @AKWilk 1: NATL ATMs predicted to be more stable/improving than declining. We address this extensively in our report. 2: absolutely when business is growing rapidly on a per share basis. Look at $DBD which trades at a big premium despite growing slower.

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 11

Brian McGough on X

So $LULU finally fires CEO, which is why the stock is up. I get that. We've been making the 'fire Calvin' call for over a year. But what the market misses here is that new CEO will have to re-base numbers by at least 30%. That sends the stock closer to $100. We shorted it at $470, and are staying put.

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 10

Brian McGough on X

This image of $WRBY price targets is laughable. 10 of them are below current stock price. We're either going to see downgrades, or an upshift in targets. I'm assuming the latter, but even the most bullish Old Wall analysts will come out at $50 tops. We're at $500. https://t.co/WNmlffRZYQ

@MultiplesCap Dec 10

Multiples Capital on X

1 oz of Silver > 1 barrel of Oil $SLV $SIL

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 10

Brian McGough on X

I absolutely LOVE the influx of $WRBY bears hitting me since our call. I have yet to hear an argument that shakes my conviction that this stock is going to double, then double again, and again, etc... https://t.co/4eQmjREfmA

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 9

Brian McGough on X

Our $WRBY 'buy with impunity' call said on Friday afternoon that it is a 10-bagger. That was premature. By the time we got done with some of the best modeling work and research I've ever seen (props to Ian Lukasik and Luke Eissler), we arrived at this name as a 25-bagger by the time we presented our case this morning. Yes, Our call is that this will be a $500 stock in 5-years. Let's go!!!

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 9

Brian McGough on X

Best Idea Short $OLLI missed on comp -- +3.3% vs 4.1%...and that's after the company called around to Old Wall and talked down comp estimates toward the end of the quarter from 7%. This was an extremely easy base effect...with a strong business cycle for off-price. This company -- if it was performing as it should -- should be comping 10% or better. Stock will be 50% lower over 1-2 years.

@HedgeyeRetail Dec 8

Brian McGough on X

CALL INVITE -> $WRBY | 5-Year 10-Bagger That Starts In 2026 https://t.co/cpKbAGLwDM via @hedgeye

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 8 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $16B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 11 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 7 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

VICR $10B

CV's Substack Oct 12 5 clicks

Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…

RBRK $25B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 12 4 clicks

PTRN · short

Pattern Group INC

Pattern Group is a fragile consumer business targeted on the short side.

PTRN $3.1B

Value Investors Club Jul 15 3 clicks

Expert Call | Nebius

Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…

NBIS $46B

P Equity Research Oct 12 5 clicks

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…

LYFT $6.5B

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 12 9 clicks

Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter

Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…

CPB $5.9B

Bristlemoon Capital Oct 12 11 clicks

Q3 2026 Jenga IP Quarterly Letter

Jenga Global Master Fund returned 8.10% in Q3 2026, added Adobe and Mexican airports, and later initiated S&P Global.

ADBE $98B

Global Outperformers Oct 12 3 clicks

Howmet Aerospace: Strong Q2, But The Valuation Is Too Rich

Howmet Aerospace posted 24% Q2 revenue growth and 46% adjusted EPS growth, but HWM trades about 87% above a $120.69 DCF fair-value estimate.

HWM $88B

Alexander I. Velasquez Oct 12 2 clicks

LQDA: finer powder, higher doses

Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…

LQDA $3.1BUTHR $24B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 12 4 clicks

Global-e: The Invisible Engine Behind the Brands You Buy From Directly Online! $GLBE

Global-e provides cross-border merchant-of-record, payments, tax and fulfillment services to more than 1,500 brands, including Shopify…

GLBE $6.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 12 6 clicks

some thoughts on FICO

FICO’s mortgage credit-score monopoly sits at the center of a GSE-dominated U.S.

FICO $17B

scuttleblurb Oct 12 4 clicks

Penguin Solutions: Explosive AI Growth At A Surprisingly Low Valuation

Penguin Solutions grew FY2026 revenue 26% as AI data-center and memory demand expanded, while negative free cash flow and cyclical memory…

PENG $3B

Investor Overview Oct 12 5 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Connor Haley on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

Multiples Capital on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

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