Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

CMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 86 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 18 clicks

Oct 14 HWM $88B

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Monte Independent Investment Research 13 clicks

From X

@aleabitoreddit Sep 21

Serenity on X

The main duo $SKHY and Samsung are having a fun day. I'm still long memory (eg. $EWY / $DRAM ) since if capacity agreements extend 3-5 years... and your analysts model 2.8-3.3x 2027E. Risk/reward is attractive over time. But I think legacy memory a very interesting trade currently due to ASP hike potential.. It also just so happens these same companies procure memory from even smaller memory companies (that might have higher sensitivity)... So if you want to, you can track $PSMC wafer allocations, and find some interesting companies that likely replace $MU discontinued legacy memory through Alliance or supply directly to Samsung. Won't mention them on X, but just throwing out some research ideas.

@aleabitoreddit Sep 20

Serenity on X

@Pau1R0b $RDDT will probably get more accounts + revenue from AI bots that act like human so I’d guess earnings beat. Changing public opinion with AI is really bad for democracy and long term platform health though.

@aleabitoreddit Sep 20

Serenity on X

@cchronobreakk I mean Sam Altman was working on iris scan with his World project, so he probably saw it coming. But human verification is probably needed across the board now for each account. $RDDT doesn’t require much so platforms like that are first to be manipulated.

@aleabitoreddit Sep 20

Serenity on X

The internet is now cooked soon? With $RDDT to other social media like X more at risk due to AI. You can have new decision models like Jev making autonomous computer interaction at near $0 cost. (With actions becoming more human-like/adapative) Then LLMs outputs influencing behavior or leading conversations. So at scale, a malicious actor can spawn 50,000,000 bots just roaming the internet, with LLM prompts convincing people + manufacturing public opinion. The main bottleneck would be phone number, IP, account age, maybe hardware for compute + device identifiers (which is extremely cheap still)… rather than LLM cost. I’ve already anecdotally seen short sellers use AI bots to spread negative misinformation about companies like $SIVE. Or bots market ____ account as the best one to follow in the comments. Or as seen with X uncovering 200+ bots manipulating debate about datacenter public opinion. But the scale might be exponentially worse soon. Scary to think about.

@calvinblissett Sep 20 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

@odynamite @mirror_mystery I run a concentrated portfolio and believe I have higher return opportunities. I have owned $KSPI for a while. I may buy some in small positions to scratch an itch

@aleabitoreddit Sep 20

Serenity on X

@Temptemo95 Thanks for following all this time! Entire training arc from $RDDT to 1M followers on X has been quite a rollercoaster. Guess like I need to start drawing anime and league characters on top of the $INTC or $NBIS charts again.

@aleabitoreddit Sep 20

Serenity on X

While everyone is focused on Bessent/He Lifeng talks today. Or $LITE / $MRVL / $SIVE at ECOC optical conference... I'm just curious why my followers can leave 2K+ comments if I post in Chinese... But if I share something in English: I only get 50 comments. Feels bad anon https://t.co/Pg6fojfMFx

@calvinblissett Sep 20

Calvin Blissett on X

@mirror_mystery $FICO $PDD $UBER $KNSL $BN $KSPI $CPRT $CSU.TO at low $2,000s because of anchoring bias. $FISV. I do not own many of these, just where I think there’s value based on research I have done.

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 14 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 14 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 12 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 6 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $15B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 23 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 6 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

VICR $10B

CV's Substack Oct 12 4 clicks

Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…

RBRK $25B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 12 3 clicks

Expert Call | Nebius

Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…

NBIS $56B

P Equity Research Oct 12 4 clicks

AMADF · long

Amadeus It Group SA

Amadeus IT Group turns long after shares fell more than 20% since a November short call.

AMADF $25B

Value Investors Club Jul 15 1 click

Q3 2026 Jenga IP Quarterly Letter

Jenga Global Master Fund returned 8.10% in Q3 2026, added Adobe and Mexican airports, and later initiated S&P Global.

ADBE $98B

Global Outperformers Oct 12 3 clicks

Howmet Aerospace: Strong Q2, But The Valuation Is Too Rich

Howmet Aerospace posted 24% Q2 revenue growth and 46% adjusted EPS growth, but HWM trades about 87% above a $120.69 DCF fair-value estimate.

HWM $88B

Alexander I. Velasquez Oct 12 2 clicks

LQDA: finer powder, higher doses

Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…

UTHR $24B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 12 4 clicks

Magna: International Expansion And Growing Margins

Magna International’s gross margin reached 14.7% and operating margin 5.6%, supporting double-digit earnings growth alongside EV investment…

MGA $18B

David Zanoni Oct 12 1 click

some thoughts on FICO

FICO’s mortgage credit-score monopoly sits at the center of a GSE-dominated U.S.

FICO $17B

scuttleblurb Oct 12 4 clicks

“Is Ralph Lauren Still Relevant?”

Ralph Lauren’s 2017 CEO change put Patrice Louvet in charge of reversing nine quarters of same-store sales declines and restoring the…

RL $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 12 1 click

53 Quality Stock Pitches (5th-11th October) 🖨️

Dassault Aviation leads a 53-pitch roundup with a €45 billion order book against €7.4 billion of sales and a 26.6% Thales stake.

DUAVF $26B

Capital Employed Oct 12 4 clicks

Figma (NYSE: FIG) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Figma’s Q2 revenue rose 48% to $370.1 million as AI credit adoption lifted retention to 136%; FY2026 revenue guidance increased to $1.463…

FIG $12B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 11 2 clicks

Rocket Lab: The Biggest Test In Its History Is Coming

Rocket Lab’s $2.36 billion backlog and Iridium acquisition support growth, but delayed Neutron testing, dilution and losses leave RKLB…

RKLB $35B

Bohdan Kucheriavyi Oct 11 7 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Serenity on X

Serenity on X

Serenity on X

Serenity on X

Calvin Blissett on X

Serenity on X

Serenity on X

Calvin Blissett on X

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