Sunday, October 11, 2026

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Hong Kong stocks Value Stocks late in a Bull Market, and Consolidating a Big Short

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common shareholders face at least 90% dilution if Treasury converts its growing senior preferred stakes into common stock.

FNMA $4.2B

Cassandra Unchained Oct 11 5 clicks

Oct 11 INTR $3B

Deep Dive: Inter & Co

Capitalist Letters 7 clicks

Oct 10 HIPO $931M

Hippo Holdings ($HIPO): The Insurtech That Stopped Chasing Hype and Started Making Money

Substack von Philipp 8 clicks

From X

@Fierce__beast Oct 11 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

who is long $woof here? https://t.co/H0SfjxEAjR

@IdeaBrunchEmail Oct 11 2 clicks

Idea Brunch on X

Idea Brunch with Chris Colvin of @BreachInletCap Tickers discussed include $BKTI, $PRG, $BATRK, $LRN, and $HGV Enjoy! https://t.co/sY3RpWR3hz

@ACapitalLP Oct 11

A Capital on X

Cal is very smart, especially as it pertains to $NN - would listen… https://t.co/7BAS7on13l

@ACapitalLP Oct 11 1 click

A Capital on X

Two event-driven levered equities I’m thinking about this weekend: $XRX and $SVC. $XRX seems simple on paper. Monetize XFS, delever and unlock substantial equity value. But if it’s that obvious, why hasn’t Icahn’s guy done it in eight years? The recent TPG IP monetization suggests they’re willing to get creative, so what’s preventing an XFS transaction? $SVC is potentially more interesting. If the board accepts TKO’s $2bn hotel portfolio offer, you’re creating the remaining net lease portfolio at a very attractive valuation with significant equity torque from deleveraging. My biggest question is whether TKO actually has the financing commitments to close… Thoughts welcome.

@Fierce__beast Oct 11

Fierce_beast on X

$evlv adoption doesn't matter if it's arriving at bad economic terms. anything can be adopted if a company is subsidizing it for example. i care about at whether the adoption is economically profitable and if that economic profit has a long and sustainable runway it doesn't seem like that's the case with $evlv

@Fierce__beast Oct 11

Fierce_beast on X

for $evlv unfortunately it seems the economics of their incremental customer wins are margin dilutive as they are trying to continue growing while competitors are catching up https://t.co/WOBgds8M4K

@ACapitalLP Oct 11

A Capital on X

@richtrades100 Yo $KYIV? https://t.co/KPar8yzxlq

@valuedontlie Oct 11 1 click

Colin King on X

M&A idea: $BCO closing on cash + stock acquisition of $NATL early 1Q27 Implied BCO market cap ~$5.5B post-close on $1B pro-forma FCF = 5.5x Leverage jumps to ~3.4x so they'll likely spend a few years balancing delevering No real arb situation, but worth watching...

Brazil Potash: Bull Case Is Starting To (Slowly) Bloom

Brazil Potash has secured court support and a power agreement, but financing, dilution and potash-price-sensitive EBITDA remain central…

GRO $130M

Wolf Report Oct 10 3 clicks

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…

GLNG $4.7B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 9 3 clicks

Blackstone Secured Lending: A Solid Balance Sheet But About To Cut Its Dividend - HOLD

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund faces a likely dividend cut after its first shortfall in 28 quarters, despite 1.8% non-accruals, $2.8…

BXSL $6.6B

Rubicon Associates Oct 9 1 click

Hyster Yale (HY) Multibagger potential as confluence of negatives subside. Attractive after markets part services model

Hyster-Yale trades at 0.16 times sales as lift-truck bookings rebound and restructuring targets $85 million to $100 million in annual…

HY $524M

Calvin Blissett Oct 9 3 clicks

Research & Analysis: Legence Corp. (NASDAQ: LGN)

Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…

LGN $4.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 9 3 clicks

OceanaGold: A Debt-Free Gold Miner Priced Below Its Mines, With Its Best One Still Being Dug

OceanaGold trades below its mine value despite US$655 million of cash and no debt, with production set to dip before Wharekirauponga begins…

OGC $5.7B

The Bullionaire Oct 9 1 click

Cava Group: Buying The (Feta) Dip? (Ticker: CAVA)

Cava’s $3 million AUVs, 25.1% restaurant margins and sector-leading same-store sales support its expansion case as awareness rose from 40%…

CAVA $6.4B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 9 6 clicks

Namib Minerals: Research Note

Namib Minerals posted H1 adjusted EBITDA of $19.0 million, up 76%, as higher gold prices offset lower production.

NAMM $55M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 8 3 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources

Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…

GEO $4.1BUAA $2.1B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 8 2 clicks

The Story Millrose Told Wall Street About Lennar Purchases Doesn’t Match The Evidence

Millrose told Goldman its Lennar purchases had rent-to-own tenants lined up, but most analyzed homes were advertised for rent and showed…

MRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 8 4 clicks

FOUR · long

Shift4 Payments INC

Shift4 Payments trades at roughly 5 times a $7.50 2029 free-cash-flow-per-share estimate after stock compensation.

FOUR $3B

Value Investors Club Jun 18 2 clicks

Deep Dive: XPEL

XPEL sells paint-protection film and DAP cutting software, using 90,000-plus vehicle templates to win share from 3M and Eastman.

XPEL $1.2B

Rebound Capital Jun 24 1 click

Aimia. Allocator Takeover, Trading Below Book Value. A war-chest of cash ready to deploy

Aimia trades at 0.75 times pro forma book value, with C$163 million to C$192 million of cash after the Bozzetto sale and Rhys Summerton…

AIMFF $162M

Kairos Research Jun 23

Deep Fission (FISN): A Mile Deep, and Already Underwater

Deep Fission’s Blue Owl backing is a $20 million minority investment tied to a nonbinding MOU, while its June IPO raised $40 million at $16…

FISN $225M

Mispriced Assets Jun 22

Wix: More Pain (Ticker: WIX)

Wix cut 2026 bookings guidance by $50 million and revenue by $25 million after layoffs and weaker agency-partner demand, deepening scrutiny…

WIX $3B

Emerging Moats Research Jun 19

Single Stock Spotlight #10: Mammoth Energy Services (TUSK)

Mammoth Energy Services rose above $3 after trading below net cash, aided by divestments, first-quarter adjusted EBITDA profitability and a…

TUSK $130M

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Jun 18

Note on Fiserv CEO Change & Huntsman/Olin Merger

Fiserv fell nearly 10% after CEO Mike Lyons left for Truist, while Olin's stock-funded 0.5476-share offer values Huntsman below its prior…

HUN $1.5BOLN $1.7B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Jun 16

The Arithmetic: How a $9 Spanish-Language Broadcaster Becomes a $100 AdTech Stock

Entravision’s path from a $9 Spanish-language broadcaster to a $100 adtech stock rests on an adtech-driven valuation model.

EVC $606M

The Value Road Jun 15 4 clicks

Weekend Digest #346 (AVAL, SpaceX QQQ & Passive Indexing, CBOE Vs. Kalshi)

Grupo Aval has doubled from entry, with further upside tied to Colombia’s new government.

AVAL $5.8B

Ian’s Insider Corner Jun 15 1 click

Quick Value #318 - Campbell's (CPB)

Campbell's trades at 10-11x earnings and a 7% yield after shares fell over 50%, while 4x leverage, weaker volumes and margin pressure…

CPB $6B

Value Don't Lie Jun 15

Sunday, October 11, 2026

Fierce_beast on X

Idea Brunch on X

A Capital on X

A Capital on X

Fierce_beast on X

Fierce_beast on X

A Capital on X

Colin King on X

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